Result
4:2
25/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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Brazil | Disney+ |
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Mexico | Disney+ |
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Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (396/481) | 77% (263/340) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (396/481) | 77% (263/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (114/156) | 55% (41/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 3.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', Goodrum P. 🟨,
- 35', Molloy A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Zengue X. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Edwards A. ⚽, McCamy C. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', Torres R. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
- 63', Henry-Scott M. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
- 63', Brown J. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Greene J. ⚽,
- 68', 3 - 1, Epps M. ⚽,
- 69', Edwards A. ↓, Kanyane G. ↑,
- 69', Gyamfi S. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
- 69', Castro J. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 2, Zengue X. (Own goal),
- 75', Munjoma E. ↓, Toure K. ↑,
- 83', Greene J. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 2, Goodrum P. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
Chances of winning
Lexington 55.9% | Draw 25.9% | Forward Madison 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Lexington - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↑ (1.62) |
3.53 ↓ (3.78) |
5.01 ↑ (4.57) |
9.4% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lexington - Forward Madison?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0.
- Recent form of Lexington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Forward Madison has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Forward Madison?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Lexington?
Forward Madison has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Forward Madison were as follows:
24.08.2024
Lexington
-
Forward Madison
0:0
20.07.2024
Forward Madison
-
Lexington
1:0
01.06.2024
Forward Madison
-
Lexington
4:1
30.09.2023
Forward Madison
-
Lexington
2:2
22.06.2023
Forward Madison
-
Lexington
3:2
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Forward Madison