Lexington vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
25/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.140.38
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
133
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
55
Passes
82% (396/481)77% (263/340)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
2.140.38
xG on target (xGOT)
3.660.44
Total shots
188
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
20
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
11
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3012
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free kicks
147
Passes
82% (396/481)77% (263/340)
Long passes
54% (32/59)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
73% (114/156)55% (41/75)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.49
Throw ins
1921
Fouls
714
Tackles
67% (8/12)85% (17/20)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
1726
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
28
xGOT faced
0.443.66
Goals prevented
-0.56-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Goodrum P. 🟨,
  • 35', Molloy A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Zengue X. , Epps M. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Edwards A. , McCamy C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 58', Torres R. , Machacen E. ,
  • 63', Henry-Scott M. , Blessing L. ,
  • 63', Brown J. , Adedokun M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Greene J. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Epps M. ,
  • 69', Edwards A. , Kanyane G. ,
  • 69', Gyamfi S. , Bolma J. ,
  • 69', Castro J. , Romanshyn K. ,
  • 70', 3 - 2, Zengue X. (Own goal),
  • 75', Munjoma E. , Toure K. ,
  • 83', Greene J. , Hafferty J. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 2, Goodrum P. , Epps M. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
55.9%
Draw
25.9%
Forward Madison
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 24% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 24.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Lexington - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.62)
    3.53
    (3.78)
    5.01
    (4.57)
    9.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lexington - Forward Madison?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0.
    • Recent form of Lexington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Forward Madison has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Forward Madison were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Lexington - Forward Madison 0:0
    20.07.2024 Forward Madison - Lexington 1:0
    01.06.2024 Forward Madison - Lexington 4:1
    30.09.2023 Forward Madison - Lexington 2:2
    22.06.2023 Forward Madison - Lexington 3:2
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Forward Madison