Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Lexington
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.65
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
78% (273/351)80% (265/331)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.36
Total shots
78
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
78% (273/351)80% (265/331)
Long passes
35% (22/62)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
50% (48/96)64% (49/77)
Crosses
33% (3/9)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.300.78
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1512
Tackles
61% (11/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.360.00
Goals prevented
0.360.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Thompson B. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Epps M. , Rodrigues B. P. ,
  • 52', McNamara T. 🟨,
  • 58', Gaines M. 🟨,
  • 63', Gaines M. , Pickering N. ,
  • 63', Pearson C. , O'Driscoll R. ,
  • 64', Williams D. , Ajago F. ,
  • 71', Singer J. , Smart S. ,
  • 80', Jones N. , Humphrey T. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez J. , Stojanovic S. ,
  • 82', Sargeant K. 🟨,
  • 86', Burke C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ferri B. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
31.1%
Draw
28.9%
Lexington
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 28.3% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 27.8% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Las Vegas Lights - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.88)
    3.18
    (3.27)
    2.3
    (2.34)
    8.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Las Vegas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lexington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Lexington were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Lexington - Las Vegas Lights 0:0
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 24176148:183057
    2Charleston ✔ 24163550:272351
    3Loudoun24114939:40-137
    4North Carolina23113935:32336
    5Hartford Athletic24105937:271035
    6Detroit2488829:30-132
    7Pittsburgh2487923:23031
    8Rhode Island24761117:24-727
    9Indy Eleven24751236:43-726
    10Tampa Bay23641327:37-1022
    11Birmingham23410929:38-922
    12Miami FC24561322:38-1621


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa24137439:261346
    2Sacramento Republic23108535:191638
    3New Mexico231031031:31033
    4San Antonio2396831:30133
    5El Paso2388737:33432
    6Lexington2488826:30-432
    7Colorado Springs2387832:33-131
    8Phoenix Rising24710740:42-231
    9Orange County SC2285934:34029
    10Oakland Roots23741228:37-925
    11Las Vegas Lights24671118:39-2125
    12Monterey Bay25661324:36-1224

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )