Lexington vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Long passes
58% (22/38)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
81% (109/134)75% (43/57)
Crosses
27% (6/22)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
714
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4327
Clearances
1222
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.021.42
Goals prevented
0.02-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cuello E. , Flores D. ,
  • 56', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 58', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Scearce J. ,
  • 66', Emmers X. , Avayevu H. ,
  • 71', Epps M. , Olney C. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Adedokun M. , Olney C. (A),
  • 81', Rizzo P. , Cabral R. ,
  • 84', Djeffal S. , Williams D. ,
  • 84', Ferri B. , Zengue X. ,
  • 90+4', Flores D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
50.8%
Draw
25%
Phoenix Rising
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.1% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Lexington - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.87)
    3.72
    (3.57)
    3.84
    (3.77)
    7.6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7Colorado Springs723215:1329
    8FC Tulsa72329:819
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)