Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (230/301) | 83% (328/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (230/301) | 83% (328/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 63% (36/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/85) | 65% (71/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Muir J. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Nick Firmino ⚽,
- 14', Nick Firmino 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Larsson A. ⚽, Dixon A. (A),
- 30', Djeffal S. 🟨,
- 37', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zengue X. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 54', Epps M. 🟨,
- 67', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. (Pen),
- 76', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
- 76', Dixon A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 85', Paul I. 🟨,
- 89', Paul I. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
- 89', Hafferty J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
39.5% | Draw
27.2% | Lexington
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterey Bay - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.75) |
3.36 ↓
(3.56) |
2.74 ↓
(4.36) |
9.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Lexington?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Monterey Bay (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lexington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Lexington?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Monterey Bay?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Lexington were as follows:
19.04.2025
Lexington
-
Monterey Bay
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
