Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.39 | 0.46 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
76% (230/301) | 83% (328/393) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.39 | 0.46 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.07 | 0.41 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 12 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
76% (230/301) | 83% (328/393) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (21/53) | 63% (36/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (53/85) | 65% (71/109) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (4/14) | 11% (2/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 0.35 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 34 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
35 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.41 | 2.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.59 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Muir J. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Nick Firmino ⚽,
- 14', Nick Firmino 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Larsson A. ⚽, Dixon A. (A),
- 30', Djeffal S. 🟨,
- 37', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zengue X. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 54', Epps M. 🟨,
- 67', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. (Pen),
- 76', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
- 76', Dixon A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 85', Paul I. 🟨,
- 89', Paul I. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
- 89', Hafferty J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay 39.5% | Draw 27.2% | Lexington 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterey Bay - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (1.75) |
3.36 ↓ (3.56) |
2.74 ↓ (4.36) |
9.6% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Lexington?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lexington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Lexington?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Monterey Bay?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Lexington were as follows:
19.04.2025
Lexington
-
Monterey Bay
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
12 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
8 | Orange County SC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Lexington | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
12 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )