Monterey Bay vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Monterey Bay - Lexington
Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.46
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
76% (230/301)83% (328/393)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.41
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
76% (230/301)83% (328/393)
Long passes
40% (21/53)63% (36/57)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)65% (71/109)
Crosses
29% (4/14)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.35
Throw-ins
1734
Fouls
1617
Tackles
67% (12/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6045
Clearances
3518
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.412.07
Goals prevented
-0.590.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Muir J. 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Nick Firmino ,
  • 14', Nick Firmino 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Larsson A. , Dixon A. (A),
  • 30', Djeffal S. 🟨,
  • 37', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zengue X. , Adedokun M. ,
  • 54', Epps M. 🟨,
  • 67', Rebollar A. , Malango M. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. (Pen),
  • 76', Sojberg A. , Gnaulati X. ,
  • 76', Dixon A. , Ivanovic L. ,
  • 85', Paul I. 🟨,
  • 89', Paul I. , Gallaway P. ,
  • 89', Hafferty J. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
39.5%
Draw
27.2%
Lexington
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 26% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 25.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Monterey Bay - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.75)
    3.36
    (3.56)
    2.74
    (4.36)
    9.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Lexington?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lexington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Lexington were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )