Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (230/301) | 83% (328/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (230/301) | 83% (328/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 63% (36/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/85) | 65% (71/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Muir J. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Nick Firmino ⚽,
- 14', Nick Firmino 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Larsson A. ⚽, Dixon A. (A),
- 30', Djeffal S. 🟨,
- 37', Rebollar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zengue X. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
- 54', Epps M. 🟨,
- 67', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. (Pen),
- 76', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
- 76', Dixon A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 85', Paul I. 🟨,
- 89', Paul I. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
- 89', Hafferty J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
39.5% | Draw
27.2% | Lexington
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterey Bay - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.75) |
3.36 ↓
(3.56) |
2.74 ↓
(4.36) |
9.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Lexington?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lexington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Lexington?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Monterey Bay?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Lexington were as follows:
19.04.2025
Lexington
-
Monterey Bay
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
