Monterey Bay vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
2:1
07/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.46
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
76% (230/301)83% (328/393)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.070.41
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
76% (230/301)83% (328/393)
Long passes
40% (21/53)63% (36/57)
Passes in final third
62% (53/85)65% (71/109)
Crosses
29% (4/14)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.35
Throw-ins
1734
Fouls
1617
Tackles
67% (12/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6045
Clearances
3518
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.412.07
Goals prevented
-0.590.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Muir J. 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Nick Firmino ⚽,
  • 14', Nick Firmino 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Larsson A. ⚽, Dixon A. (A),
  • 30', Djeffal S. 🟨,
  • 37', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zengue X. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
  • 54', Epps M. 🟨,
  • 67', Rebollar A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. (Pen),
  • 76', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
  • 76', Dixon A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
  • 85', Paul I. 🟨,
  • 89', Paul I. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
  • 89', Hafferty J. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
39.5%		Draw
27.2%		Lexington
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 26% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 25.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lexington's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monterey Bay - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.31 ↑
    (1.75)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.56)    		 2.74 ↓
    (4.36)    		 9.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Lexington?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Monterey Bay (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lexington is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Monterey Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Lexington were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    28.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity 1:0
    24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2
    17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0
    10.05.2025 Rhode Island - Monterey Bay 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lexington
    31.05.2025 Charlotte Independence - Lexington 3:2
    24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺
    10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1
    01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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