Monterey Bay vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
210
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
71% (274/384)70% (248/355)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.162.12
Total shots
917
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
1431
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
71% (274/384)70% (248/355)
Long passes
32% (30/94)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
50% (54/107)63% (100/159)
Crosses
33% (4/12)29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.57
Throw-ins
2833
Fouls
1112
Tackles
80% (16/20)93% (14/15)
Duels won
5762
Clearances
4317
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
2.120.16
Goals prevented
0.120.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Lara A. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Totsch S. , Davila T. (A),
  • 24', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 43', Dia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Guediri S. , Robinson G. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Perez E. ,
  • 66', Fehr M. , Larsson A. ,
  • 66', Paul I. , Ivanovic L. ,
  • 70', Perez E. , McFadden A. ,
  • 70', Lambert K. , McCabe N. ,
  • 78', Malango M. , Bryant E. ,
  • 82', McFadden A. 🟨,
  • 85', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 90', Dia A. , Cano I. ,
  • 90', Serrano R. , Davila E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
21.8%
Draw
27%
Louisville City
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 26.9% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 26.1% 52.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Louisville City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Monterey Bay - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.3
    (4.23)
    3.47
    (3.43)
    1.83
    (1.81)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Monterey Bay - Louisville City?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Louisville City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Louisville City were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Louisville City - Monterey Bay 4:1
    18.03.2023 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)