New Mexico United vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Lexington
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.49
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
58
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
87% (503/575)84% (311/370)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.23
Total shots
58
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
01
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
87% (503/575)84% (311/370)
Long passes
37% (19/51)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
65% (82/127)69% (55/80)
Crosses
14% (1/7)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.59
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
1613
Tackles
60% (6/10)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3445
Clearances
419
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.230.85
Goals prevented
0.23-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Vargas M. , Lindsey J. (A),
  • 10', 2 - 0, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 38', Wu D. 🟥,
  • 43', Rodrigues B. P. , Greene J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Hurst G. , Archimede L. ,
  • 56', Harris D. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 56', Bailey Z. , Moguel C. ,
  • 62', Williams D. , Midence A. ,
  • 62', Ferri B. , Blessing L. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Epps M. ,
  • 76', Gloster C. , Noel V. ,
  • 78', Sargeant K. , Zengue X. ,
  • 81', Maples T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
59.8%
Draw
23%
Lexington
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 28.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 29% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico United's performance.
  • Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New Mexico United - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.25)
    4.87
    (3.2)
    6.5
    (2.83)
    -10.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Lexington?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, New Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Lexington were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Lexington - New Mexico United 2:1
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

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