Lexington vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Lexington - New Mexico United
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.32
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
79% (213/271)91% (589/648)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.28
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (213/271)91% (589/648)
Long passes
42% (22/53)69% (45/65)
Passes in final third
63% (40/63)74% (101/137)
Crosses
53% (9/17)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.03
Throw-ins
208
Fouls
1212
Tackles
62% (8/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3729
Clearances
1314
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.281.32
Goals prevented
0.28-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Midence A. 🟨,
  • 24', Burks K. 🟨,
  • 25', Seymore W. 🟨,
  • 35', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 42', Zengue X. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando , Akale M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 65', Gaines M. , Bruce D. ,
  • 65', Ryden K. , Rivas S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Djeffal S. , Hafferty J. (A),
  • 73', 2 - 1, Zengue X. ,
  • 77', Seymore W. , Lindsey J. ,
  • 82', Luiz Fernando , Pondeca T. ,
  • 83', Sargeant K. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 83', Midence A. , Williams D. ,
  • 83', Nick Firmino , Greene J. ,
  • 86', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ajago F. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 90+9', Epps M. , Barbir D. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
36.1%
Draw
27.6%
New Mexico United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 27.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 27.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Lexington - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.8)
    3.3
    (3.32)
    2.51
    (2.36)
    9.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lexington - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Lexington has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • New Mexico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )