Lexington vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1

14/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.32
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
79% (213/271)	91% (589/648)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	1.28
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
21	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
79% (213/271)	91% (589/648)
Long passes
42% (22/53)	69% (45/65)
Passes in final third
63% (40/63)	74% (101/137)
Crosses
53% (9/17)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.03
Throw-ins
20	8
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
62% (8/13)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
37	29
Clearances
13	14
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.28	1.32
Goals prevented
0.28	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Midence A. 🟨,
24', Burks K. 🟨,
25', Seymore W. 🟨,
35', Zelalem G. 🟨,
42', Zengue X. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Akale M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Gloster C. 🟨,
65', Gaines M. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
65', Ryden K. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Djeffal S. ⚽, Hafferty J. (A),
73', 2 - 1, Zengue X. ⚽,
77', Seymore W. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
82', Luiz Fernando ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
83', Sargeant K. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
83', Midence A. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
83', Nick Firmino ↓, Greene J. ↑,
86', Adedokun M. 🟨,
90+5', Ajago F. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
90+9', Epps M. ↓, Barbir D. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Lexington
36.1%

Draw
27.6%

New Mexico United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lexington - New Mexico United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.8)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	2.51 ↑ (2.36)	9.7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Lexington - New Mexico United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Lexington has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
New Mexico's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Latest results of Lexington

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Charlotte Independence - Lexington 3:2 ✺

24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1 ✺

Latest results of New Mexico United

07.06.2025 New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 4:3 ✺

24.05.2025 Oakland Roots - New Mexico United 0:3 ✺

17.05.2025 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:3 ✺

10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	21	14	6	1	42:17	25	48
2	Charleston	21	15	2	4	45:22	23	47
3	North Carolina	20	10	3	7	31:27	4	33
4	Loudoun	21	9	4	8	32:33	-1	31
5	Pittsburgh	21	7	7	7	20:19	1	28
6	Detroit	21	7	7	7	24:24	0	28
7	Hartford Athletic	20	7	5	8	29:23	6	26
8	Indy Eleven	20	6	5	9	32:37	-5	23
9	Rhode Island	21	5	6	10	15:23	-8	21
10	Miami FC	21	5	5	11	21:34	-13	20
11	Birmingham	21	4	8	9	24:33	-9	20
12	Tampa Bay	20	5	3	12	22:31	-9	18

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	21	12	6	3	37:23	14	42
2	Sacramento Republic	20	8	7	5	29:17	12	31
3	El Paso	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
4	San Antonio	20	8	5	7	25:26	-1	29
5	Phoenix Rising	21	7	7	7	35:37	-2	28
6	Lexington	21	7	7	7	23:27	-4	28
7	Orange County SC	19	8	3	8	28:25	3	27
8	New Mexico	19	8	3	8	26:28	-2	27
9	Colorado Springs	20	6	6	8	25:29	-4	24
10	Monterey Bay	22	6	6	10	23:29	-6	24
11	Oakland Roots	20	6	3	11	24:32	-8	21
12	Las Vegas Lights	21	5	5	11	17:39	-22	20

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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