Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | CBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.19 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
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5 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
87% (503/575) | 84% (311/370) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 1.23 |
Total shots |
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5 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 16 |
Passes |
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87% (503/575) | 84% (311/370) |
Long passes |
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37% (19/51) | 43% (18/42) |
Passes in final third |
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65% (82/127) | 69% (55/80) |
Crosses |
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14% (1/7) | 40% (2/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.10 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 14 |
Fouls |
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16 | 13 |
Tackles |
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60% (6/10) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
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34 | 45 |
Clearances |
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4 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
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1.23 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
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0.23 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Lindsey J. (A),
- 10', 2 - 0, Maples T. (Pen),
- 38', Wu D. 🟥,
- 43', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Greene J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 56', Harris D. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 56', Bailey Z. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 62', Williams D. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
- 62', Ferri B. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Epps M. ⚽,
- 76', Gloster C. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
- 78', Sargeant K. ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
- 81', Maples T. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United 59.8% | Draw 23% | Lexington 17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico United's performance.Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-18.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New Mexico United - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (2.25) |
4.87 ↑ (3.2) |
6.5 ↑ (2.83) |
-10.7% (11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Lexington?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, New Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Lexington?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against New Mexico United?
Lexington has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Lexington were as follows:
14.06.2025
Lexington
-
New Mexico United
2:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )