Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (503/575) | 84% (311/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (503/575) | 84% (311/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/127) | 69% (55/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽, Lindsey J. (A),
- 10', 2 - 0, Maples T. (Pen),
- 38', Wu D. 🟥,
- 43', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Greene J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 56', Harris D. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 56', Bailey Z. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 62', Williams D. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
- 62', Ferri B. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Epps M. ⚽,
- 76', Gloster C. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
- 78', Sargeant K. ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
- 81', Maples T. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
59.8% | Draw
23% | Lexington
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico United's performance.Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-18.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lexington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New Mexico United - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.25) |
4.87 ↑
(3.2) |
6.5 ↑
(2.83) |
-10.7%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Lexington?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, New Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Lexington?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against New Mexico United?
Lexington has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Lexington were as follows:
14.06.2025
Lexington
-
New Mexico United
2:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
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