Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.47
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
85% (359/422)88% (462/526)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.88
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
815
Passes
85% (359/422)88% (462/526)
Long passes
62% (24/39)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)78% (61/78)
Crosses
21% (4/19)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.87
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
158
Tackles
79% (15/19)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
930
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.880.98
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
  • 35', Greene J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
  • 69', Greene J. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
  • 71', Burks K. 🟨,
  • 72', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 72', Pacius W. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
  • 87', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 89', Midence A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
39.1%		Draw
27%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27.9% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 27.7% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
    •

    Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.37 ↓
    (2.78)    		 3.43 ↑
    (3.31)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.38)    		 7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 12).
    • Lexington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lexington
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺
    10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1
    01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    10.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery 1:3
    07.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City 0:5 ✺
    03.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 2:2
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1783626:24227
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1664614:14022
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1653816:24-818
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Tampa Bay16421017:25-814
    12Hartford Athletic1534815:21-613


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1685324:16829
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1581622:17525
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    8Orange County SC1562722:22020
    9Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    10Lexington1747617:23-619
    11Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518
    12Colorado Springs1646619:22-318

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