Lexington vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.47
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
85% (359/422)88% (462/526)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.88
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
815
Passes
85% (359/422)88% (462/526)
Long passes
62% (24/39)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
75% (112/150)78% (61/78)
Crosses
21% (4/19)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.87
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
158
Tackles
79% (15/19)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
930
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.880.98
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
  • 35', Greene J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
  • 69', Greene J. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
  • 71', Burks K. 🟨,
  • 72', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 72', Pacius W. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
  • 87', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 89', Midence A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
39.1%		Draw
27%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27.9% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 27.7% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
    •

    Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.37 ↓
    (2.78)    		 3.43 ↑
    (3.31)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.38)    		 7.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 12).
    • Lexington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lexington
    18.05.2025 Lexington - Tulsa 0:2 ✺
    10.05.2025 Loudoun United - Lexington 5:1
    01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    10.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery 1:3
    07.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City 0:5 ✺
    03.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion 2:2
    26.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 3:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City19135138:152344
    2Charleston19132439:201941
    3North Carolina1993729:26330
    4Loudoun1984728:27128
    5Pittsburgh1976618:16227
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1864825:22322
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1855827:32-520
    10Miami FC1955917:27-1020
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay18521121:28-717


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa19115335:221338
    2Sacramento Republic1886426:131330
    3San Antonio1884625:25028
    4El Paso1876530:25527
    5New Mexico1781824:26-225
    6Orange County SC1773727:24324
    7Colorado Springs1866624:24024
    8Phoenix Rising1966730:35-524
    9Monterey Bay20641021:27-622
    10Lexington1957720:26-622
    11Oakland Roots18621020:27-720
    12Las Vegas Lights19541014:35-2119

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