Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/422) | 88% (462/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/422) | 88% (462/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (24/39) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (112/150) | 78% (61/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
- 35', Greene J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
- 69', Greene J. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
- 71', Burks K. 🟨,
- 72', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 72', Pacius W. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
- 87', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 89', Midence A. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lexington
39.1% | Draw
27% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.78) |
3.43 ↑
(3.31) |
2.73 ↑
(2.38) |
7.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 12).
- Lexington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Lexington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Lexington?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
