Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (188/310) | 75% (308/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (188/310) | 75% (308/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/81) | 35% (26/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (59/138) | 56% (48/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Morris J. 🟨,
- 17', El Mizouni I. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, McGrandles C. (A),
- 31', House B. 🟨,
- 37', Simpson J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Darikwa T. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Forrester W. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Simpson J. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
- 62', House B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 65', Abdulai A. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, El Mizouni I. (A),
- 72', Moylan J. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 72', One R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 85', Bakinson T. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
- 85', Happe D. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
- 85', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
63.8% | Draw
22.9% | Leyton Orient
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Lincoln City - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
4.07 ↑
(4) |
6.99 ↑
(5.74) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 44.1% – 85.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leyton Orient will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).
- Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
- Lincoln is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leyton Orient has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leyton Orient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Draper F.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Health problems)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
Reach A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Surgery)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Clare S.
(Injury)
Levitt D.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Leyton Orient?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Lincoln City?
Leyton Orient has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Leyton Orient were as follows:
25.10.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Lincoln City
1:0
15.02.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Lincoln City
3:2
05.10.2024
Lincoln City
-
Leyton Orient
2:1
29.03.2024
Lincoln City
-
Leyton Orient
1:0
21.11.2023
Leyton Orient
-
Lincoln City
1:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
