Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sixfields Stadium (Northampton).

League One - Round 34
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.93	0.84
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
72% (251/350)	67% (181/269)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.93	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	0.64
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
5	0
Blocked shots
7	3
Shots inside the box
12	6
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
37	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
14	8
Passes
72% (251/350)	67% (181/269)
Long passes
37% (27/73)	26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
57% (86/152)	50% (31/62)
Crosses
21% (9/43)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.27
Throw ins
33	18
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
67% (6/9)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
67	50
Clearances
18	96
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.64	0.53
Goals prevented
-1.36	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Levitt D. (A),
45', Craig M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Perkins J. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Morris J. ⚽, Ballard D. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Eaves T. ⚽, Campbell D. (A),
65', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
70', Simpson J. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
72', Dennis W. 🟨,
77', Fawunmi F. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
84', Levitt D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
89', Fornah T. ↓, List E. ↑,
89', Taylor T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Northampton Town
33.6%

Draw
28.5%

Leyton Orient
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Northampton Town - Leyton Orient Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.66)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	6.6% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Leyton Orient?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 32% – 80.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
Recent performances by Northampton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leyton Orient has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Vale J. (Red Card)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Leyton Orient?

Northampton Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Northampton Town?

Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Leyton Orient were as follows:

30.08.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 0:1

08.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 1:2

19.10.2024 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 1:0

13.02.2024 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 4:3

24.10.2023 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 2:2

Latest results of Northampton Town

17.02.2026 Lincoln City - Northampton Town 4:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Exeter City - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺

10.02.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Barnsley - Northampton Town 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Leyton Orient

17.02.2026 Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle 1:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Stockport County - Leyton Orient 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two