Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 6
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (351/458) | 59% (132/222) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (351/458) | 59% (132/222) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/66) | 29% (21/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/110) | 40% (32/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Adaramola T. 🟨,
- 45+2', James T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Thorniley J. ↑,
- 54', Koroma J. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽, Fornah T. (A),
- 59', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
- 71', Fornah T. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 72', Perkins J. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
- 72', Adaramola T. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
- 72', O'Neill O. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
- 78', Bakinson T. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
- 80', Wheatley E. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 90+5', Beckles O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Connolly A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
54.3% | Draw
26% | Northampton Town
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Leyton Orient - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.75) |
3.57 ↓
(3.78) |
4.77 ↑
(4.34) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.
- Leyton Orient has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Northampton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Northampton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Leyton Orient is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
El Mizouni I.
(Red Card)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Koroma J.
(Injury)
Obiero Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Jacobs M.
(Knock)
Swyer K.
(Knock)
Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
Wheatley E.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Northampton Town?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Leyton Orient?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Northampton Town were as follows:
08.03.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Northampton Town
1:2
19.10.2024
Northampton Town
-
Leyton Orient
1:0
13.02.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Northampton Town
4:3
24.10.2023
Northampton Town
-
Leyton Orient
2:2
02.01.2023
Northampton Town
-
Leyton Orient
1:0
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
