Northampton Town vs Leyton Orient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sixfields Stadium (Northampton).

League One - Round 34
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.93	0.84
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Passes
72% (251/350)	67% (181/269)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.93	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.53	0.64
Total shots
15	9
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
5	0
Blocked shots
7	3
Shots inside the box
12	6
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
37	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
14	8
Passes
72% (251/350)	67% (181/269)
Long passes
37% (27/73)	26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
57% (86/152)	50% (31/62)
Crosses
21% (9/43)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.27
Throw ins
33	18
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
67% (6/9)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
67	50
Clearances
18	96
Interceptions
3	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.64	0.53
Goals prevented
-1.36	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Levitt D. (A),
45', Craig M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Perkins J. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Morris J. ⚽, Ballard D. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Eaves T. ⚽, Campbell D. (A),
65', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
70', Simpson J. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
72', Dennis W. 🟨,
77', Fawunmi F. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
84', Levitt D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
89', Fornah T. ↓, List E. ↑,
89', Taylor T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Northampton Town
33.6%

Draw
28.5%

Leyton Orient
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

26.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Northampton Town - Leyton Orient Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.66)	3.3 ↑ (3.23)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	6.6% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Leyton Orient?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 32% – 80.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
Recent performances by Northampton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leyton Orient has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Vale J. (Red Card)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Leyton Orient?

Northampton Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Northampton Town?

Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Leyton Orient were as follows:

30.08.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 0:1

08.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 1:2

19.10.2024 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 1:0

13.02.2024 Leyton Orient - Northampton Town 4:3

24.10.2023 Northampton Town - Leyton Orient 2:2

Latest results of Northampton Town

17.02.2026 Lincoln City - Northampton Town 4:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Exeter City - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺

10.02.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Barnsley - Northampton Town 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Leyton Orient

17.02.2026 Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle 1:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Stockport County - Leyton Orient 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two