Result
0:1
28/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (197/313) | 74% (322/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (197/313) | 74% (322/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (15/71) | 35% (28/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (49/103) | 63% (88/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Cleary R. ⚽, Kelly P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bradshaw T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 55', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
- 72', Guthrie J. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 72', Cleary R. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
- 73', Kelly P. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 80', Campbell D. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
- 84', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
- 87', List E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
30.1% | Draw
24.5% | Barnsley
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Northampton Town - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.82) |
3.8 ↑
(3.58) |
2.06 ↓
(2.27) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Barnsley will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Northampton (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
- Northampton is Relegated to League Two
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 0.
- Northampton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Barnsley?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Northampton Town?
Barnsley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Barnsley were as follows:
03.02.2026
Barnsley
-
Northampton Town
2:2
25.02.2025
Northampton Town
-
Barnsley
1:2
24.08.2024
Barnsley
-
Northampton Town
2:2
27.04.2024
Barnsley
-
Northampton Town
1:1
23.09.2023
Northampton Town
-
Barnsley
1:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
