Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 25
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 61% (197/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 61% (197/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 19% (14/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (68/131) | 36% (35/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 48 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Clare S. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Reid J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', 1 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Mitchell D. (A),
- 45+6', Goode C. 🟨,
- 45+7', Earley S. ↓, Freestone L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Forrester W. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
- 52', Clare S. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
- 65', Phillips D. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 65', Pattenden J. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 66', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 74', Mitchell D. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 80', O'Neill O. 🟨,
- 82', White H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 86', O'Neill O. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
- 88', Casey K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Archibald T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
48.8% | Draw
28.8% | Leyton Orient
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.06) |
3.24 ↑
(3.23) |
4.18 ↑
(3.4) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 60.7% – 93.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Leyton Orient (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Stevenage (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.
- In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stevenage could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Leyton Orient?
Stevenage Borough has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Stevenage Borough?
Leyton Orient has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient were as follows:
27.09.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
2:3
27.03.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
21.01.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
23.11.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Leyton Orient
0:0
16.03.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Leyton Orient
0:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
