Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (258/397) | 54% (131/243) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (258/397) | 54% (131/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (15/83) | 34% (22/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (57/131) | 52% (49/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 41 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.80 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Connolly A. ⚽, Wellens C. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, White H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 2, Freestone L. ⚽, White H. (A),
- 61', 1 - 3, Piergianni C. ⚽, White H. (A),
- 67', Piergianni C. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 71', Koroma J. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
- 76', James T. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
- 82', Ahadme G. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 84', Mitchell D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 84', El Mizouni I. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
- 88', Kemp D. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 89', Campbell C. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
- 90+4', Goode C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
35.4% | Draw
26.3% | Stevenage Borough
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.41) |
3.57 ↑
(3.37) |
2.46 ↓
(2.88) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
- Leyton Orient has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stevenage is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Beckles O.
(Injury)
Craig M.
(Knock)
Happe D.
(Injury)
Obiero Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Stevenage Borough?
Leyton Orient has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Leyton Orient?
Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
27.03.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
21.01.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
23.11.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Leyton Orient
0:0
16.03.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Leyton Orient
0:1
02.09.2023
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
0:3
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
