Leyton Orient vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough
Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.85
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
65% (258/397)54% (131/243)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.492.80
Total shots
511
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
109
Passes
65% (258/397)54% (131/243)
Long passes
18% (15/83)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
44% (57/131)52% (49/95)
Crosses
14% (3/21)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.62
Throw-ins
4127
Fouls
910
Tackles
58% (11/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5771
Clearances
2756
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
2.801.49
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Connolly A. , Wellens C. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, White H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Freestone L. , White H. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 3, Piergianni C. , White H. (A),
  • 67', Piergianni C. , Sweeney D. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Ballard D. ,
  • 71', Koroma J. , O'Neill O. ,
  • 76', James T. , Moorhouse J. ,
  • 82', Ahadme G. , Roberts J. ,
  • 84', Mitchell D. , Abdulai A. ,
  • 84', El Mizouni I. , Simpson J. ,
  • 88', Kemp D. , Malcolm J. ,
  • 89', Campbell C. , Butler D. ,
  • 90+4', Goode C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
35.4%
Draw
26.3%
Stevenage Borough
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 29.5% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.41)
    3.57
    (3.37)
    2.46
    (2.88)
    6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: Leyton Orient will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
    • Leyton Orient has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stevenage is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Beckles O. (Injury) Craig M. (Knock) Happe D. (Injury) Obiero Z. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 1:0
    21.01.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 0:1
    23.11.2024 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 0:0
    16.03.2024 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 0:1
    02.09.2023 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 0:3
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two