Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 25
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 61% (197/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (161/273) | 61% (197/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 19% (14/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (68/131) | 36% (35/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 48 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Clare S. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Reid J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', 1 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Mitchell D. (A),
- 45+6', Goode C. 🟨,
- 45+7', Earley S. ↓, Freestone L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Forrester W. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
- 52', Clare S. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
- 65', Phillips D. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 65', Pattenden J. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 66', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 74', Mitchell D. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 80', O'Neill O. 🟨,
- 82', White H. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 86', O'Neill O. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
- 88', Casey K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Archibald T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
48.8% | Draw
28.8% | Leyton Orient
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leyton Orient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.06) |
3.24 ↑
(3.23) |
4.18 ↑
(3.4) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 60.7% – 93.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Leyton Orient (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Stevenage (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.
- In recent matches, Stevenage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Leyton Orient is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stevenage could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Leyton Orient?
Stevenage Borough has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Stevenage Borough?
Leyton Orient has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient were as follows:
27.09.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
2:3
27.03.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
21.01.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Stevenage Borough
0:1
23.11.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Leyton Orient
0:0
16.03.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Leyton Orient
0:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
