Guaraní Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción).

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 20
Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.39
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
66% (162/247)	71% (210/296)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	1.46
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
12	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
66% (162/247)	71% (210/296)
Long passes
24% (13/55)	45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
46% (43/93)	50% (42/84)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.51
Throw-ins
14	20
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
83% (10/12)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
47	56
Clearances
30	31
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.46	0.86
Goals prevented
-0.54	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
45+4', Espinoza M. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 0, Manzur A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Servin T. 🟨,
60', Viera D. 🟨,
62', Fernandez F. 🟨,
62', Franco I. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
62', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Acuna O. ↑,
65', Melgarejo L. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,
74', Maiz A. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
82', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
87', Fernandez H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Rojas R. ⚽, Villalba R. (A),
90+1', Martinez L. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
90+1', Servin T. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
90+4', Melgarejo L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
90+5', Villalba R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guaraní Asuncion
40.5%

Draw
28.8%

Libertad Asuncion
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28%

32.7%

Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.4)	3.24 (3.24)	3.03 ↑ (2.78)	7.3% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.
Guaraní has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Libertad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?

Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?

Libertad Asuncion has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:

01.10.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:3

25.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:4

19.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:3

09.02.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:1

05.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:2

Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion

05.11.2025 2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:3 ✺

22.10.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - River Plate Asunción 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Asuncion

01.11.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion 2:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion 2:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 0:0 ✺

Paraguayan Primera Division Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	21	12	7	2	31:18	13	43
2	Guarani	21	13	3	5	42:19	23	42
3	Nacional Asuncion	22	9	8	5	26:17	9	35
4	Sportivo Trinidense	22	8	9	5	25:21	4	33
5	2 de Mayo	22	9	6	7	28:27	1	33
6	Recoleta	22	9	5	8	35:30	5	32
7	Libertad Asuncion	22	6	8	8	26:24	2	26
8	Olimpia Asuncion	22	6	8	8	33:38	-5	26
9	Sp. Luqueno	21	7	4	10	26:34	-8	25
10	General Caballero JLM	22	6	6	10	22:33	-11	24
11	Ameliano	22	5	4	13	22:40	-18	19
12	Atl. Tembetary	21	3	6	12	20:35	-15	15

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