Result
1:3
19/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (467/546) | 76% (245/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (467/546) | 76% (245/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 58% (46/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Campuzano A. ⚽, Melgarejo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Maiz A. ↓, Torales Richard ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽, Martinez L. (A),
- 53', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
- 55', Franco I. 🟨,
- 57', Maidana A. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Torales Richard ⚽, Perez D. (A),
- 67', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez M. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 71', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 78', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 78', Martinez H. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 78', Melgarejo L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Fernandez D. (Pen),
- 86', Franco I. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez F. ↓, Patino Martinez J. ↑,
- 86', Cantero A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 89', Caballero H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Perez D. ↓, Pinatares B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
53.3% | Draw
28.5% | Guaraní Asuncion
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)The ML Model estimate for Libertad Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.8) |
3.28 ↑
(3.1) |
5.03 ↑
(4.3) |
7.7%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2.
- Libertad in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Guaraní is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Libertad is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Libertad to win the game is with odds 1.75.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Libertad won 8 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
09.02.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
05.10.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:2
03.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
06.04.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
21.01.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
