Result
0:4
25/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (310/401) | 76% (301/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (310/401) | 76% (301/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/74) | 28% (14/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (77/131) | 60% (52/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.50 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Jhon Sanchez ⚽, Benitez Cabrera A. J. (A),
- 36', Rojas R. ↓, Gimenez N. ↑,
- 38', Barbotte A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Manzur A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 3, Jhon Sanchez ⚽,
- 54', Melgarejo L. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 54', Sanabria L. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 4, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
- 65', Fernandez H. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 65', Aguilar G. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 71', Manzur A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 71', Rodriguez D. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 72', Caballero H. 🟨,
- 76', Espinoza M. 🟨,
- 78', Ramirez I. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 79', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Mendieta W. ↑,
- 79', Maiz A. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
39.1% | Draw
30.6% | Guaraní Asuncion
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaraní Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(1.82) |
3.29 ↓
(3.45) |
3.31 ↓
(4.13) |
-0.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guaraní Asuncion will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guaraní is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Libertad Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
19.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:3
09.02.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
05.10.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:2
03.08.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
06.04.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
