Libertad Asuncion vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Paraguay Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
2:3 penalties
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Paraguay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports

Match Stats

Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Torales R. ,
  • 17', Manzur A. 🟥,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Melgarejo L. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Maiz A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Ramirez I. 🟥,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Melgarejo L. ,
  • 89', Fernandez H. 🟥,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
35.4%
Draw
32.1%
Guaraní Asuncion
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 39% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 40% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.79)
    3.06
    (2.29)
    3.03
    (3.08)
    1.7%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
    • In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guaraní is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:4
    19.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:3
    09.02.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:1
    05.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:2
    03.08.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:0
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Fernando de la MoraOlimpia Asuncion0 : 3
    2Sp. CarapeguaAtl. Tembetary0 : 1
    3Encarnacion FC2 de Mayo1 : 2
    4Minga GuazuSp. Luqueno2 : 1
    524 de SetiembreLibertad Asuncion0 : 5
    6Benjamin AcevalGuarani0 : 3
    7River PlateDeportivo Santani1 : 0
    8Silvio PettirossiResistencia0 : 2
    9PastoreoCerro Porteno0 : 3
    10Sol de AmericaRecoleta1 : 0
    1112 de JunioAmeliano0 : 1
    12HumaitaGeneral Caballero JLM2 : 4
    13Club Sportivo LimpenoSportivo Trinidense0 : 4
    141 de EneroNacional Asuncion0 : 5
    1512 de OctubreGuarani de Fram3 : 1
    16San LorenzoTacuary1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Olimpia AsuncionAtl. Tembetary2 : 3
    22 de MayoMinga Guazu2 : 1
    3Libertad AsuncionGuarani2 : 3
    4River PlateResistencia2 : 1
    5Cerro PortenoSol de America1 : 0
    6AmelianoGeneral Caballero JLM0 : 1
    7Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion0 : 1
    812 de OctubreTacuary1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Tembetary2 de Mayo
    2GuaraniRiver Plate
    3Cerro PortenoGeneral Caballero JLM
    4Nacional Asuncion12 de Octubre

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place