Libertad Asuncion vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
0:4
25/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
77% (310/401)76% (301/397)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.50
Total shots
614
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
615
Passes
77% (310/401)76% (301/397)
Long passes
47% (35/74)28% (14/50)
Passes in final third
59% (77/131)60% (52/87)
Crosses
26% (5/19)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.38
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
176
Tackles
53% (9/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
3130
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.500.37
Goals prevented
-2.500.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Jhon Sanchez , Benitez Cabrera A. J. (A),
  • 36', Rojas R. , Gimenez N. ,
  • 38', Barbotte A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Manzur A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 3, Jhon Sanchez ,
  • 54', Melgarejo L. , Cardozo O. ,
  • 54', Sanabria L. , Martinez H. ,
  • 63', 0 - 4, Rodriguez D. ,
  • 65', Fernandez H. , Villalba R. ,
  • 65', Aguilar G. , Recalde J. ,
  • 71', Manzur A. , Gomez L. ,
  • 71', Rodriguez D. , Mino Amarilla C. E. ,
  • 72', Caballero H. 🟨,
  • 76', Espinoza M. 🟨,
  • 78', Ramirez I. , Torales R. ,
  • 79', Jhon Sanchez , Mendieta W. ,
  • 79', Maiz A. , Gomez G. ,

Chances of winning


Libertad Asuncion
39.1%
Draw
30.6%
Guaraní Asuncion
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.8% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 27.5% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaraní Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (1.82)
    3.29
    (3.45)
    3.31
    (4.13)
    -0.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guaraní Asuncion will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
    • In recent matches, Libertad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Guaraní is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 1:3
    09.02.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:1
    05.10.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 0:2
    03.08.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion 0:0
    06.04.2024 Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion 2:1
    Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1071226:91722
    2Cerro Porteno1063119:13621
    3Sportivo Trinidense1052315:13217
    4Sp. Luqueno1052313:9417
    5Nacional Asuncion1044211:8316
    6Libertad Asuncion1034311:9213
    7Olimpia Asuncion1033413:16-312
    8Recoleta1033414:15-112
    9General Caballero JLM103257:15-811
    102 de Mayo1024410:15-510
    11Ameliano1022610:18-88
    12Atl. Tembetary1012710:19-95

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