Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (448/528) | 64% (174/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (448/528) | 64% (174/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 31% (19/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (160/204) | 53% (45/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 3.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 3.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mejia M. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 67', Quinonez A. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo B. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
- 74', Mena A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 84', Caicedo E. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 84', Arboleda C. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 84', Velasco P. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 90+1', Humanante J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bravo J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 90+2', Molina N. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
56.8% | Draw
25.4% | Libertad Loja
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Orense - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.74) |
3.64 ↑
(3.48) |
5.07 ↑
(4.61) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orense - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orense: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Orense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Libertad Loja?
Orense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Orense?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Libertad Loja were as follows:
15.03.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
4:1
18.10.2024
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
1:0
27.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
1:1
01.10.2023
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
