Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 1.02 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
85% (448/528) | 64% (174/272) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 1.02 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.44 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
53 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (448/528) | 64% (174/272) |
Long passes |
---|
61% (33/54) | 31% (19/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (160/204) | 53% (45/85) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (8/33) | 40% (4/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.23 | 1.04 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (4/7) | 82% (14/17) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.76 | 3.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.24 | 3.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mejia M. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 67', Quinonez A. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo B. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
- 74', Mena A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 84', Caicedo E. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 84', Arboleda C. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 84', Velasco P. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 90+1', Humanante J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bravo J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 90+2', Molina N. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense 56.8% | Draw 25.4% | Libertad Loja 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Orense - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.74) |
3.64 ↑ (3.48) |
5.07 ↑ (4.61) |
8.2% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orense - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Orense: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Orense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Libertad Loja?
Orense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Orense?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Libertad Loja were as follows:
15.03.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
4:1
18.10.2024
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
1:0
27.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
1:1
01.10.2023
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )