Orense vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Orense - Libertad Loja
Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 20
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.02
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
85% (448/528)64% (174/272)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.861.02
xG on target (xGOT)
3.440.76
Total shots
177
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
5315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
711
Passes
85% (448/528)64% (174/272)
Long passes
61% (33/54)31% (19/62)
Passes in final third
78% (160/204)53% (45/85)
Crosses
24% (8/33)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.231.04
Throw-ins
2210
Fouls
117
Tackles
57% (4/7)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4055
Clearances
1436
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
0.763.44
Goals prevented
-0.243.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. , Quinonez Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mejia M. , Luna R. ,
  • 67', Quinonez A. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 74', Caicedo B. , Arturia G. ,
  • 74', Mena A. , Bianchi O. ,
  • 84', Caicedo E. , Gruezo C. ,
  • 84', Arboleda C. , Humanante J. ,
  • 84', Velasco P. , Bermudez M. ,
  • 90+1', Humanante J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bravo J. , Avila D. ,
  • 90+2', Molina N. , Ortiz C. ,

Chances of winning


Orense
56.8%
Draw
25.4%
Libertad Loja
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 26.7% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 26.1% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Orense - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.74)
    3.64
    (3.48)
    5.07
    (4.61)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Orense - Libertad Loja?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orense: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Orense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Libertad has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 4:1
    18.10.2024 Orense - Libertad Loja 1:0
    27.04.2024 Libertad Loja - Orense 1:1
    01.10.2023 Orense - Libertad Loja 3:0
    Latest results of Orense
    23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0
    16.06.2025 Orense - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2LDU Quito23127440:221843
    3Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    6Aucas23105832:33-135
    7U. Catolica2397744:311334
    8Libertad2397734:30434
    9Emelec2387822:27-531
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta23581030:41-1123
    15Tecnico U23571123:34-1122
    16Mushuc Runa23451425:41-1617

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )