Orense vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala).

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 10
Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.82	0.78
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
33	9
Shots on target
13	5
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
10	4
Passes
78% (247/316)	75% (252/336)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
3.82	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
3.29	1.40
Total shots
33	9
Shots on target
13	5
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
10	2
Shots inside the Box
23	8
Shots outside the Box
10	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
42	26
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
78% (247/316)	75% (252/336)
Long passes
42% (19/45)	45% (30/66)
Passes in final third
63% (80/127)	64% (54/84)
Crosses
44% (12/27)	57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.40	0.62
Throw-ins
16	11
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
75% (6/8)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
45	35
Clearances
25	36
Interceptions
13	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	10
xGOT faced
1.40	3.29
Goals prevented
-0.60	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', Mina S. 🟨,
30', Quinonez O. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Biojo R. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
45+3', Herrera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Bermudez M. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
46', Ortiz C. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
46', Mina S. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Caicedo B. ⚽, Armas D. (A),
61', Herrera A. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Ayovi W. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
68', Arboleda C. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
68', Bravo Y. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Armas D. ⚽,
82', Biojo R. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
85', Vinan B. 🟨,
86', Caicedo E. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
86', Quinonez O. ↓, Pachito B. ↑,
87', Achilier G. ↓, Quinonez S. ↑,
90', Humanante J. 🟨,
90+3', Velasco P. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Vinan B. ⚽,
90+6', Vinan B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Orense
49.7%

Draw
27%

Libertad Loja
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.8%

24.3%

Orense - Libertad Loja Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	3.94 ↑ (3.9)	8.7% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Orense - Libertad Loja?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Orense is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Libertad Loja?

Orense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Orense?

Libertad Loja has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Libertad Loja were as follows:

05.10.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 2:0

13.07.2025 Orense - Libertad Loja 0:1

15.03.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 4:1

18.10.2024 Orense - Libertad Loja 1:0

27.04.2024 Libertad Loja - Orense 1:1

Latest results of Orense

14.12.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Orense - LDU Quito 2:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Independiente del Valle - Orense 0:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Loja

14.12.2025 Libertad Loja - LDU Quito 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil 1:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

08.11.2025 LDU Quito - Libertad Loja 3:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. Catolica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	LDU Quito	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Dep. Cuenca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Tecnico U	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Macara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Emelec	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Barcelona SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Ind. del Valle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Aucas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Mushuc Runa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Guayaquil City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Delfin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Orense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Libertad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Leones del Norte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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