Result
3:2
21/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 10
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (247/316) | 75% (252/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.82 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 33 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (247/316) | 75% (252/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 45% (30/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/127) | 64% (54/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 3.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', Mina S. 🟨,
- 30', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Biojo R. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 45+3', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Bermudez M. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 46', Ortiz C. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 46', Mina S. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Caicedo B. ⚽, Armas D. (A),
- 61', Herrera A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Ayovi W. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 68', Arboleda C. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 68', Bravo Y. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Armas D. ⚽,
- 82', Biojo R. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 85', Vinan B. 🟨,
- 86', Caicedo E. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 86', Quinonez O. ↓, Pachito B. ↑,
- 87', Achilier G. ↓, Quinonez S. ↑,
- 90', Humanante J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Vinan B. ⚽,
- 90+6', Vinan B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orense
49.7% | Draw
27% | Libertad Loja
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+1%)
Orense - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.91) |
3.42 ↓
(3.43) |
3.94 ↑
(3.9) |
8.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orense - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Orense is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Libertad Loja?
Orense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Orense?
Libertad Loja has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Libertad Loja were as follows:
05.10.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
2:0
13.07.2025
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
0:1
15.03.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
4:1
18.10.2024
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
1:0
27.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
1:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Aucas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Orense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
