Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 1
- Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (253/312) | 84% (297/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (253/312) | 84% (297/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (93/122) | 72% (97/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Becerra K. ⚽,
- 45+5', Caicedo N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, Quinonez S. (Own goal),
- 64', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 65', Caicedo B. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 65', Mina S. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 74', Ayovi W. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo N. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 78', Vinan B. ↓, Romero N. ↑,
- 78', Molina N. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 80', Mina F. 🟨,
- 83', Quinonez O. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 83', Mena A. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 84', Quinonez Y. ↓, Bueno Quinonez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
41.3% | Draw
29.3% | Orense
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Libertad Loja - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.05) |
3.16 ↓
(3.25) |
3.14 ↓
(3.4) |
7.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Recent performances by Libertad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Libertad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Orense?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Libertad Loja?
Orense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Orense were as follows:
13.07.2025
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
0:1
15.03.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
4:1
18.10.2024
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
1:0
27.04.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Orense
1:1
01.10.2023
Orense
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
