Libertad Loja vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 2
  • Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.95
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
66% (164/247)86% (459/535)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.15
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
2336
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
108
Passes
66% (164/247)86% (459/535)
Long passes
42% (28/66)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
52% (50/96)68% (101/149)
Crosses
63% (5/8)46% (12/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.24
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
810
Tackles
88% (15/17)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4734
Clearances
2511
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.150.96
Goals prevented
0.15-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Arboleda C. , Quinonez Y. (A),
  • 36', Mejia E. 🟨,
  • 44', Humanante J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Humanante J. , Bravo J. ,
  • 55', Caicedo E. 🟨,
  • 61', Palacios B. , Fajardo J. ,
  • 68', Quinonez O. 🟨,
  • 68', Clavijo E. 🟨,
  • 69', Anangono G. 🟨,
  • 72', Caicedo E. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 72', Quinonez O. , Garcia A. ,
  • 76', Alonso M. , Romero Padilla D. A. ,
  • 76', Anangono G. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Londono A. (Pen),
  • 83', Arboleda C. , Monaga J. ,
  • 89', Ayovi W. , Quinonez A. ,
  • 90+1', Cacciabue J. , Moreno L. ,
  • 90+1', Diaz M. , Martinez F. ,
  • 90+2', Monaga J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Zambrano I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
29.8%
Draw
27.1%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 27.8% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 28.1% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    3.47
    (3.28)
    2.17
    (2.07)
    6.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
    • Libertad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Uni Católica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1
    28.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1
    10.08.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:2
    11.03.2024 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:1
    06.11.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 0:0
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca331471239:34549
    8Emelec3212101033:35-246
    9Aucas331291242:45-345
    10Macara3211111039:32744
    11EL Nacional32981534:50-1635
    12Delfin326141228:48-2032

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