Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 25
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (463/529) | 75% (212/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (463/529) | 75% (212/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (37/56) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (111/152) | 61% (51/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Quinonez Y. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Alonso M. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 70', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 70', Clavijo E. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 70', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 70', Garcia A. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 72', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 79', Ayovi W. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 83', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 86', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 88', Bolanos D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.9% | Draw
23.1% | Libertad Loja
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.52) |
3.96 ↓
(4.32) |
4.18 ↓
(5.16) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ))
- Uni Católica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Libertad Loja?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja were as follows:
28.04.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:1
10.08.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
1:2
11.03.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:1
06.11.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
26.05.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
