Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 2
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (164/247) | 86% (459/535) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (164/247) | 86% (459/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (50/96) | 68% (101/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 46% (12/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Arboleda C. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 36', Mejia E. 🟨,
- 44', Humanante J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Humanante J. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
- 55', Caicedo E. 🟨,
- 61', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 68', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 68', Clavijo E. 🟨,
- 69', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 72', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 72', Quinonez O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 76', Alonso M. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 76', Anangono G. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Londono A. (Pen),
- 83', Arboleda C. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 89', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 90+1', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 90+1', Diaz M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 90+2', Monaga J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Zambrano I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
29.8% | Draw
27.1% | Universidad Católica del Ecuador
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.23) |
3.47 ↑
(3.28) |
2.17 ↑
(2.07) |
6.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Libertad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Uni Católica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Uni Católica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Libertad Loja?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
16.08.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
28.04.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:1
10.08.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
1:2
11.03.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:1
06.11.2023
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
