Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 25
Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	0.54
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
88% (463/529)	75% (212/282)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	0.91
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
5	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
31	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
3	10
Passes
88% (463/529)	75% (212/282)
Long passes
66% (37/56)	42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
73% (111/152)	61% (51/84)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.42	0.32
Throw-ins
14	18
Fouls
10	3
Tackles
92% (11/12)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
30	40
Clearances
15	26
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.91	0.93
Goals prevented
-0.09	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Quinonez Y. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Mejia E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Alonso M. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
70', Anangono G. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
70', Clavijo E. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
70', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
70', Garcia A. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
72', Martinez F. 🟨,
79', Ayovi W. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
83', Palacios B. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
86', Martinez F. 🟨,
88', Bolanos D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.9%

Draw
23.1%

Libertad Loja
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

20.8%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.52)	3.96 ↓ (4.32)	4.18 ↓ (5.16)	7.4% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ))
Uni Católica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Libertad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Libertad Loja?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja were as follows:

28.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:1

10.08.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:2

11.03.2024 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:1

06.11.2023 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 0:0

26.05.2023 Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

13.08.2025 Alianza Lima - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Orense - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 6:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:4 ✺

19.07.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Loja

09.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 1:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Libertad Loja - Emelec 1:2 ✺

25.07.2025 El Nacional - Libertad Loja 2:2 ✺

21.07.2025 Libertad Loja - Manta 1:0 ✺

16.07.2025 La Cantera - Libertad Loja 1:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
3	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )