Result
2:0
27/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (310/382) | 87% (455/522) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (310/382) | 87% (455/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (39/70) | 53% (23/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (61/98) | 76% (117/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 7% (2/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Kragliks R. 🟨,
- 22', Babic A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Melnis B. ⚽, Sorokins V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kragliks R. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
- 46', Hrvoj T. ↓, Ouedraogo M. ↑,
- 64', Monteiro E. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 65', Gueye D. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 65', Leidsman K. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 65', Traore A. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Dodo ⚽, Samba T. (A),
- 73', Rubenis O. ↓, Ramiro J. ↑,
- 78', Clemente M. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
- 81', Melnis B. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 83', Dodo 🟨,
- 90+4', Lausic M. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Liepāja
33.7% | Draw
27.9% | Auda Riga
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Liepāja - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.59) |
3.31 ↓
(3.39) |
2.4 ↑
(2.32) |
8.4%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Liepāja - Auda Riga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Auda will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auda Riga will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Liepāja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Auda Riga?
Liepāja has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Liepāja?
Auda Riga has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Auda Riga were as follows:
24.05.2025
Liepāja
-
Auda Riga
0:0
09.04.2025
Auda Riga
-
Liepāja
3:0
05.10.2024
Liepāja
-
Auda Riga
2:1
25.09.2024
Auda Riga
-
Liepāja
3:0
21.07.2024
Auda Riga
-
Liepāja
2:0
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
