Result
0:1
30/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (292/381) | 81% (343/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (292/381) | 81% (343/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 40% (24/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (67/108) | 66% (80/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Petersons A. ↓, Muhammad Y. ↑,
- 52', Sorokins V. 🟨,
- 65', Promise V. 🟨,
- 66', Becers R. ↓, Peilans M. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Melnis B. ⚽,
- 81', Ullman O. 🟨,
- 83', Yuzvak A. ↓, Janovskis A. ↑,
- 83', Emenike K. ↓, Purs V. ↑,
- 87', Traore A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 87', Oloko E. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 87', Melnis B. ↓, Simic M. ↑,
- 87', Diaw M. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
- 90+4', Iljins K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
36.7% | Draw
27.3% | Liepāja
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Jelgava - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.35) |
3.34 ↑
(3.3) |
2.54 ↑
(2.5) |
9.6%
(12.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 1.1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Liepāja?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Jelgava?
Liepāja has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Liepāja were as follows:
14.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
1:0
03.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:2
10.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
3:0
14.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:4
02.06.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
1:1
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
