Result
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Liepāja
45.4% | Draw
26.9% | Jelgava
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+2%)
Liepāja - Jelgava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.97) |
3.42 ↓
(3.45) |
3.31 ↓
(3.44) |
8.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3.
- Liepāja has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jelgava is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Liepāja might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:21. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Jelgava?
Liepāja has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Liepāja?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liepāja - Jelgava were as follows:
25.10.2025
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
2:2
02.08.2025
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
1:2
30.05.2025
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
0:1
14.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
1:0
03.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:2
Latest results of Liepāja
Latest results of Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | RFS | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Riga FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Grobina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | FK Liepaja | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
