Result
1:2
02/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/386) | 81% (310/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (330/386) | 81% (310/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 56% (41/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/126) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Gueye D. (Pen),
- 45+1', Polasek M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 2, Gueye D. ⚽,
- 61', Becers R. ↓, Hasek F. ↑,
- 65', Boroduska E. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
- 65', Polasek M. ↓, Zaleiko G. ↑,
- 66', Emenike K. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 69', Traore A. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 69', Patijcuks D. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
- 69', Gueye D. ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
- 75', Babic A. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Alekseiciks K. ⚽, Hasek M. (A),
- 81', Girdvainis E. 🟨,
- 81', Melnis B. ↓, Saveljevs A. ↑,
- 82', Lausic M. ↓, Dodo ↑,
Chances of winning
Jelgava
28.1% | Draw
27.3% | Liepāja
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelgava's form might have worsened.Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelgava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Jelgava - Liepāja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↑
(2.5) |
3.37 ↓
(3.75) |
2.06 ↓
(2.25) |
8.6%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jelgava - Liepāja?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Liepāja (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 0.
- Jelgava is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Liepāja is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:44. (average 0.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jelgava won against Liepāja?
Jelgava has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liepāja won against Jelgava?
Liepāja has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jelgava - Liepāja were as follows:
30.05.2025
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
0:1
14.04.2025
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
1:0
03.11.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:2
10.08.2024
Liepāja
-
Jelgava
3:0
14.07.2024
Jelgava
-
Liepāja
2:4
Latest results of Jelgava
Latest results of Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 71 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Grobina | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 10 | Metta | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 30:63 | -33 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
