Result
4:0
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 9 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (626/698) | 80% (300/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.73 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (626/698) | 80% (300/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (33/48) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (201/241) | 59% (41/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 52% (14/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Correia F. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 31', Igamane H. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Mukau N. ⚽, Igamane H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Ngoy N. 🟨,
- 62', Ljubicic D. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
- 62', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 62', Bakrar M. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, Igamane H. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
- 70', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 70', Igamane H. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 71', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 71', Lisica M. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
- 77', Zajc M. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
- 78', Perraud R. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 0, Andre B. ⚽,
- 88', Varela C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
65.5% | Draw
20% | Dinamo Zagreb
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lille - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.6) |
4.8 ↑
(4.27) |
6.59 ↑
(5.01) |
3.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lille - Dinamo Zagreb?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lille (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Dinamo Zagreb (4.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 19 - 90.5%). Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 9.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Caillard M.
(Injury)
Gomes A.
(Inactive)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Valincic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zivkovic M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Lille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Lille?
Dinamo Zagreb has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
