Lille vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
04/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaZhiBo8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
norwayNorwayVG+
puerto-ricoPuerto-ricoFox Sports 2
russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.69
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
175
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
51
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Free Kicks
1016
Offsides
74
Fouls
1610
Throw-ins
1516
Touches in the Opposition Box
409
Passes
86% (500/584)82% (330/402)
Passes in the final third
69% (121/175)55% (33/60)
Crosses
17% (4/23)38% (5/13)
Tackles
83% (10/12)50% (6/12)
Clearances Total
1425
Interceptions
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diop M. , Bardeli E. ,
  • 59', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 59', Sangante O. 🟨,
  • 60', Essimi M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 60', Bammou Y. , Courtet G. ,
  • 60', Al Saad M. , Yassine G. ,
  • 63', Sahraoui O. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 63', Cabella R. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 65', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 71', Mukau N. , Gomes A. ,
  • 76', Skytta N. , Senneville C. ,
  • 76', Senneville C. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Gomes A. , David J. (A),
  • 90+1', David J. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Tejan K. , Abner F. (A),
  • 90+7', Tejan K. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Mbappe E. (Pen),
  • 1, Courtet G. (Pen),
  • 2, Bakker M. (Pen),
  • 2, Bardeli E. (Pen),
  • 3, Gomes A. (Pen),
  • 3, Sangante O. (Pen),
  • 4, Alexsandro (Pen),
  • 4, Georgen A. (Pen),
  • 5, Haraldsson H. (Pen),
  • 5, Sekongo A. (Pen),
  • 6, Akpom Ch. (Pen),
  • 6, Senneville C. (Pen),
  • 7, Andre B. (Pen),
  • 7, Jaouen E. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
74.9%
Draw
15.8%
Dunkerque
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 21.2% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 21.1% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.
  • Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lille - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.47)
    5.99
    (4.37)
    10.22
    (5.8)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Coupe De France with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Sports 2
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Dunkerque?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 31 - 93.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 85.7%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    Latest results of Lille
    01.02.2025 Lille - Saint-Étienne 4:1
    29.01.2025 Lille - Feyenoord 6:1
    25.01.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:1
    21.01.2025 Liverpool - Lille 2:1
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    31.01.2025 Dunkerque - Martigues 0:1
    27.01.2025 Annecy - Dunkerque 0:2
    22.01.2025 Haguenau - Dunkerque 1:3
    18.01.2025 Dunkerque - Lorient 0:1
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse