Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 5
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport 2, Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-america | ESPN 4 South, TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.53 | 1.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
79% (257/327) | 84% (451/538) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.53 | 1.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.74 | 0.95 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 40 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
79% (257/327) | 84% (451/538) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (21/49) | 52% (23/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (60/87) | 72% (103/143) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 23% (5/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.26 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (12/21) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
19 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.95 | 3.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.95 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 0, Said W. ⚽,
- 36', Verdonk C. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Thauvin F. ⚽, Said W. (A),
- 45+1', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 0, Fofana R. ⚽,
- 59', Haraldsson H. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 69', Fofana R. ↓, Edouard O. ↑,
- 69', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
- 74', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 77', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 77', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
- 83', Udol M. 🟨,
- 86', Sangare M. ↓, Sylla F. ↑,
- 86', Thauvin F. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 90+5', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lens 45.5% | Draw 27.6% | Lille 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Lens - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.4) |
3.62 ↑ (3.45) |
3.79 ↑ (2.87) |
0% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lens - Lille?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Lille will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 56.3% – 87.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 0.
- Recent performances by Lens have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lille is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Machado D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro
(Thigh Injury)
Meunier T.
(Groin Injury)
Raghouber U.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Lille?
Lens has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lens?
Lille has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Lille were as follows:
30.03.2025
Lille
-
Lens
1:0
26.10.2024
Lens
-
Lille
0:2
29.03.2024
Lille
-
Lens
2:1
08.10.2023
Lens
-
Lille
1:1
04.03.2023
Lens
-
Lille
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Paris FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2