Lille vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq).

Ligue 1 - Round 27
Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, VOOsport World 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Ultra
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	0.41
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
82% (368/451)	87% (481/556)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.12	0.58
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
82% (368/451)	87% (481/556)
Long passes
38% (16/42)	53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
67% (82/122)	62% (54/87)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.69
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
50% (13/26)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
56	42
Clearances Total
24	21
Interceptions
3	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.58	2.12
Goals prevented
0.58	1.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽,
22', Aguilar R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
63', Said W. ↓, Thomasson A. ↑,
63', Mendy N. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
66', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
72', Sotoca F. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
78', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
78', Gomes A. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
78', Mukau N. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
82', Medina F. 🟨,
83', Antonio K. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
83', Aguilar R. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
87', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
88', Bouaddi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lille
46.9%

Draw
28.1%

Lens
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

26.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Lille - Lens Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)	3.41 ↓ (3.56)	3.8 ↓ (3.87)	5.2% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : beIN SPORTS

What is the prediction for Lille - Lens?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Lens will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 27% – 65.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 3.
Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lens is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lille will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Yellow Cards) Mbappe E. (Illness) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Lens: Delplace A. (Inactive) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Petric D. (Back Injury) Satriano M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lille: Sahraoui O. (Hip Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Lille won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:11 (average 1.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 2.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lens?

Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Lille?

Lens has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lens were as follows:

26.10.2024 Lens - Lille 0:2

29.03.2024 Lille - Lens 2:1

08.10.2023 Lens - Lille 1:1

04.03.2023 Lens - Lille 1:1

09.10.2022 Lille - Lens 1:0

Latest results of Lille

15.03.2025 Nantes - Lille 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Lille - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Lens

15.03.2025 Lens - Rennes 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4 ✺

23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 0:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Lille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Metz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Nice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Angers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Brest	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Lens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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