Lille vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
4:2
23/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, SuperSport Variety 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.011.36
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
83% (396/477)81% (353/438)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
4.011.36
xG on target (xGOT)
4.611.81
Total shots
176
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
73
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4015
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
129
Passes
83% (396/477)81% (353/438)
Long passes
52% (23/44)31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
68% (103/151)72% (63/87)
Crosses
27% (6/22)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.421.17
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
912
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.814.61
Goals prevented
-0.190.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Geubbels W. ⚽,
  • 29', Igamane H. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Giroud O. ⚽, Perraud R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 60', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 60', Chergui S. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,
  • 60', Cafaro M. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
  • 61', Igamane H. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
  • 66', Traore H. 🟨,
  • 73', Sahraoui O. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
  • 73', Bentaleb N. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
  • 74', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Giroud O. (Pen),
  • 80', 3 - 1, Mandi A. ⚽,
  • 83', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Doucet L. ⚽,
  • 86', Giroud O. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
  • 86', Mandi A. ↓, Ngoy N. ↑,
  • 90+4', Doucet L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Broholm M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
57.1%		Draw
23.4%		Paris FC
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 22.4% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 21% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Lille - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.61)    		 4.17 ↓
    (4.27)    		 5.01 ↓
    (5.15)    		 3.5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lille - Paris FC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Lille (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lille will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 8 - 80%). Paris FC (votes: 2 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paris FC is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lille is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Caillard M. (Injury) Verdonk C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Injury) Ikone J. (Groin Injury) Otavio (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lille
    09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:0 ✺
    06.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille 1:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Lille - Angers 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Nice - Lille 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    07.11.2025 Paris FC - Rennes 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Monaco - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paris FC - Lyon 3:3 ✺
    24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lens - Paris FC 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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