Result
1:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Afghanistan | Asr TV, Meraj Sport |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
 Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | C+ France, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
 Japan | Wowow Live |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Turkey | TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 5, Virgin Media More |
 Usa | Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
 Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 477 | 669 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 402 | 591 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 46', Endrick 🟨,
- 57', Endrick ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 57', Militao E. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
- 59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
- 67', Camavinga E. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
- 72', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
- 79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
- 81', Modric L. 🟨,
- 88', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 90+3', David J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille
18.5% | Draw
23.1% | Real Madrid
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Lille - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.24 ↓
(5.85) |
4.19 ↓
(4.36) |
1.65 ↑
(1.55) |
3.5%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : UniMás
What is the prediction for Lille - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
143 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 3.5%). Real will win (votes: 134 - 93.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 89.7% – 97.7%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Real is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Gomes A.
(Red Card)
Haraldsson H.
(Leg Injury)
Ismaily
(Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mukau N.
(Ankle Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
Ceballos D.
(Ankle Injury)
Courtois T.
(Muscle Injury)
Diaz B.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Real Madrid?
Lille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Lille?
Real Madrid has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Real Madrid were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
