Lille vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Lille - Real Madrid
Result
1:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Meraj Sport
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceC+ France, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 5, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.96
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
13
Free Kicks
1516
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
20
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
477669
Completed Passes
402591
Clearances Completed
910
Crosses Completed
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mendy F. , Garcia F. ,
  • 46', Endrick 🟨,
  • 57', Endrick , Modric L. ,
  • 57', Militao E. , Mbappe K. ,
  • 59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 67', Camavinga E. , Guler A. ,
  • 72', Cabella R. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 81', Modric L. 🟨,
  • 88', Bakker M. , Meunier T. ,
  • 90+3', David J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
18.5%
Draw
23.1%
Real Madrid
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 21.9% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 22.1% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Lille - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.24
    (5.85)
    4.19
    (4.36)
    1.65
    (1.55)
    3.5%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 143 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 3.5%). Real will win (votes: 134 - 93.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 89.7%97.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Red Card) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Mukau N. (Ankle Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Ankle Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Diaz B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lille
    28.09.2024 Le Havre - Lille 0:3
    21.09.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3
    17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce