Result
1:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Afghanistan | Asr TV, Meraj Sport |
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3 |
Argentina | FOX Sports 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | ESPN Premium |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
France | C+ France, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1 |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Italy | NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
Japan | Wowow Live |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Caliente TV |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Norway | TV2 Play |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 2 |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
South-africa | SuperSport PSL |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
Turkey | TRT Spor |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 5, Virgin Media More |
Usa | Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
Venezuela | Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.29 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Goal Attempts |
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7 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 16 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 3 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 2 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 5 |
Total Passes |
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477 | 669 |
Completed Passes |
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402 | 591 |
Clearances Completed |
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9 | 10 |
Crosses Completed |
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2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 46', Endrick 🟨,
- 57', Endrick ↓, Modric L. ↑,
- 57', Militao E. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
- 59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
- 67', Camavinga E. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
- 72', Cabella R. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
- 79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
- 81', Modric L. 🟨,
- 88', Bakker M. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 90+3', David J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lille 18.5% | Draw 23.1% | Real Madrid 58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Lille - Real Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.24 ↓ (5.85) |
4.19 ↓ (4.36) |
1.65 ↑ (1.55) |
3.5% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : UniMás
What is the prediction for Lille - Real Madrid?
Users Predictions:
143 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 3.5%). Real will win (votes: 134 - 93.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 89.7% – 97.7%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Real is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Gomes A.
(Red Card)
Haraldsson H.
(Leg Injury)
Ismaily
(Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mukau N.
(Ankle Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
Ceballos D.
(Ankle Injury)
Courtois T.
(Muscle Injury)
Diaz B.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Real Madrid?
Lille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Lille?
Real Madrid has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Real Madrid were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
19 | Pafos | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
25 | Brann | Bye | |
26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
29 | Rangers | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
31 | Plzen | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Servette | |
33 | Nice | Bye | |
36 | Bye | Benfica | |
37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
16 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
17 | Nice | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Benfica | |
19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals1 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | |
2 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | |
3 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | |
4 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | |
5 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | |
6 | Shkendija | Qarabag | |
7 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | |
8 | Rangers | Plzen | |
9 | Nice | Benfica | |
10 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | |