Lille vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
02/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Meraj Sport
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceC+ France, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 5, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.96
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
13
Free Kicks
1516
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
20
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Fouls
1112
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
477669
Completed Passes
402591
Clearances Completed
910
Crosses Completed
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mendy F. , Garcia F. ,
  • 46', Endrick 🟨,
  • 57', Endrick , Modric L. ,
  • 57', Militao E. , Mbappe K. ,
  • 59', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 67', Camavinga E. , Guler A. ,
  • 72', Cabella R. , Sahraoui O. ,
  • 78', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 79', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 81', Modric L. 🟨,
  • 88', Bakker M. , Meunier T. ,
  • 90+3', David J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Diakite B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lille
18.5%
Draw
23.1%
Real Madrid
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 21.9% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 22.1% 61.2%

Lille - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.24
(5.85)
4.19
(4.36)
1.65
(1.55)
3.5%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 143 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 3.5%). Real will win (votes: 134 - 93.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 89.7%97.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lille is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Gomes A. (Red Card) Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Mukau N. (Ankle Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Ankle Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury) Diaz B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Mbappe K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lille
    28.09.2024 Le Havre - Lille 0:3
    21.09.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3
    17.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Lille 2:0
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal550014:11315
    2PSG540119:81112
    3Bayern Munich540115:6912
    4Inter540112:3912
    5Real Madrid540112:5712
    6Dortmund531117:11610
    7Chelsea531112:6610
    8Sporting CP531111:5610
    9Manchester City531110:5510
    10Atalanta53116:5110
    11Newcastle530211:479
    12Atl. Madrid530212:1029
    13Liverpool530210:829
    14Galatasaray53028:719
    15PSV522113:858
    16Tottenham522110:738
    17Bayer Leverkusen52218:10-28
    18Barcelona521212:1027
    19Qarabag52128:9-17
    20Napoli52126:9-37
    21Marseille52038:626
    22Juventus513110:1006
    23Monaco51316:8-26
    24Pafos51314:7-36
    25Royale Union SG52035:12-76
    26Club Brugge KV51138:13-54
    27Ath Bilbao51134:9-54
    28Eintracht Frankfurt51137:14-74
    29FC Copenhagen51137:14-74
    30Benfica51044:8-43
    31Slavia Prague50322:8-63
    32Bodo/Glimt50237:11-42
    33Olympiacos Piraeus50235:13-82
    34Villarreal50142:10-81
    35Kairat Almaty50144:14-101
    36Ajax50051:16-150

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