Result
0:1
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (344/429) | 71% (197/278) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (344/429) | 71% (197/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 29% (18/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (83/129) | 61% (62/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Hamer T. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
- 36', Darikwa T. 🟨,
- 45+4', Bycroft J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', McMillan J. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
- 56', Aitchison J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 56', Oakes L. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 70', House B. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 70', Moylan J. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 71', One R. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
- 77', Bayliss T. 🟨,
- 82', Cummins C. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
- 82', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 89', Reach A. ↓, Elerewe D. ↑,
- 90+7', Magennis J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Jefferies D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Bradley S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
21.6% | Draw
25.5% | Lincoln City
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lincoln City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Exeter City - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.39 ↑
(3.3) |
3.68 ↑
(3.25) |
1.81 ↓
(2.15) |
5.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Lincoln will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to FA Cup.
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- Exeter is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lincoln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Lincoln City?
Exeter City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Exeter City?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Lincoln City were as follows:
04.10.2025
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
0:1
22.03.2025
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
0:0
16.11.2024
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
0:0
17.02.2024
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
1:0
28.10.2023
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
1:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
