Lincoln City vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Lincoln City - Exeter City
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.30
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
67% (235/349)69% (214/309)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.76
Total shots
157
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
538
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
67% (235/349)69% (214/309)
Long passes
43% (35/82)37% (34/92)
Passes in final third
56% (92/163)51% (55/107)
Crosses
29% (7/24)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.690.17
Throw-ins
3025
Fouls
1010
Tackles
73% (11/15)53% (8/15)
Duels won
6752
Clearances
2455
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.761.18
Goals prevented
-0.241.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Whitworth J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Yfeko J. , Higgins A. ,
  • 68', Collins J. , Hackett-Fairchild R. ,
  • 78', Darikwa T. , Hamer T. ,
  • 78', Street R. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 82', Wareham J. , McDonald K. ,
  • 82', Cole R. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 87', House B. , Ring E. ,
  • 89', Andrew D. , Turns E. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, McDonald K. ,
  • 90+11', Brierley E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
57.8%
Draw
23.9%
Exeter City
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 26.3% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 25.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Lincoln City - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.81)
    3.89
    (3.56)
    5.12
    (4.3)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Exeter City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.74%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
    • Lincoln is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Exeter has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Moylan J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Aitchison J. (Ankle Injury) Cox S. (Inactive) McDonald K. (Injury) Rydel R. (Injury)
    • We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Exeter City were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:0
    16.11.2024 Exeter City - Lincoln City 0:0
    17.02.2024 Lincoln City - Exeter City 1:0
    28.10.2023 Exeter City - Lincoln City 1:1
    11.03.2023 Exeter City - Lincoln City 2:1
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two