Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (235/349) | 69% (214/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (235/349) | 69% (214/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (35/82) | 37% (34/92) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (92/163) | 51% (55/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Yfeko J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 68', Collins J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
- 78', Darikwa T. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
- 78', Street R. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 82', Wareham J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 82', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 87', House B. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 89', Andrew D. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, McDonald K. ⚽,
- 90+11', Brierley E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
57.8% | Draw
23.9% | Exeter City
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Lincoln City - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.81) |
3.89 ↑
(3.56) |
5.12 ↑
(4.3) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Exeter City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
- Lincoln is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Exeter has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Aitchison J.
(Ankle Injury)
Cox S.
(Inactive)
McDonald K.
(Injury)
Rydel R.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Exeter City?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Lincoln City?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Exeter City were as follows:
22.03.2025
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
0:0
16.11.2024
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
0:0
17.02.2024
Lincoln City
-
Exeter City
1:0
28.10.2023
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
1:1
11.03.2023
Exeter City
-
Lincoln City
2:1
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
