Lincoln City vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle
Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.23
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
61% (155/254)78% (372/476)
Yellow Cards
65
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.660.97
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
815
Passes
61% (155/254)78% (372/476)
Long passes
39% (24/61)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
46% (55/119)67% (87/130)
Crosses
33% (3/9)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.68
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
1511
Tackles
52% (12/23)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5876
Clearances
4230
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.973.66
Goals prevented
-1.030.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Bayliss T. ,
  • 10', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 23', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Ibrahim B. , Roberts C. ,
  • 46', Palsson V. , Galloway B. ,
  • 54', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 57', Pepple A. , Oseni O. ,
  • 57', Watts C. , Finn T. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Collins J. ,
  • 65', 3 - 0, Collins J. (Pen),
  • 67', Collins J. , House B. ,
  • 70', Draper F. 🟨,
  • 73', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Ring E. ,
  • 73', Draper F. , Hamilton E. ,
  • 74', Street R. 🟨,
  • 74', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 75', House B. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Oseni O. , Amaechi X. (A),
  • 80', 3 - 2, Amaechi X. , Mumba B. (A),
  • 83', Sorinola M. , Benarous A. ,
  • 86', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 90', Darikwa T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Galloway B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Hamilton E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
51.1%
Draw
27.1%
Plymouth Argyle
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.7% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.8% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.09)
    3.6
    (3.4)
    4.47
    (3.46)
    3.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: House B. (Injury) Jackson A. (Red Card) Jefferies D. (Injury) Montsma L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Hazard C. (Knee Injury) Issaka F. (Thigh Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Hackett-Fairchild R. (Injury) Moylan J. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    10.04.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City 0:2
    12.11.2022 Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two