Lincoln City vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.23
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
61% (155/254)78% (372/476)
Yellow Cards
65
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.660.97
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2019
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
815
Passes
61% (155/254)78% (372/476)
Long passes
39% (24/61)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
46% (55/119)67% (87/130)
Crosses
33% (3/9)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.68
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
1511
Tackles
52% (12/23)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5876
Clearances
4230
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.973.66
Goals prevented
-1.030.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Bayliss T. ,
  • 10', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 23', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Ibrahim B. , Roberts C. ,
  • 46', Palsson V. , Galloway B. ,
  • 54', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 57', Pepple A. , Oseni O. ,
  • 57', Watts C. , Finn T. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Collins J. ,
  • 65', 3 - 0, Collins J. (Pen),
  • 67', Collins J. , House B. ,
  • 70', Draper F. 🟨,
  • 73', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Ring E. ,
  • 73', Draper F. , Hamilton E. ,
  • 74', Street R. 🟨,
  • 74', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 75', House B. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Oseni O. , Amaechi X. (A),
  • 80', 3 - 2, Amaechi X. , Mumba B. (A),
  • 83', Sorinola M. , Benarous A. ,
  • 86', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 90', Darikwa T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Galloway B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Hamilton E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
51.1%
Draw
27.1%
Plymouth Argyle
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.7% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.8% 27.3%

Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(2.09)
3.6
(3.4)
4.47
(3.46)
3.4%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Lincoln (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Plymouth (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 50%). Plymouth (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: House B. (Injury) Jackson A. (Red Card) Jefferies D. (Injury) Montsma L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Hazard C. (Knee Injury) Issaka F. (Thigh Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Hackett-Fairchild R. (Injury) Moylan J. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    10.04.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City 0:2
    12.11.2022 Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff26174545:261955
    2Lincoln26147542:281449
    3Bradford City25137535:27846
    4Stockport County26136737:32545
    5Bolton271110633:25843
    6Huddersfield271161046:38839
    7Luton26116937:32539
    8Stevenage25108727:23438
    9Wycombe2699834:29536
    10Mansfield24105934:28635
    11Reading2598833:31235
    12Peterborough261121333:35-235
    13Exeter251031228:23533
    14Plymouth261031333:39-633
    15Barnsley2295835:34132
    16Leyton Orient26951239:43-432
    17AFC Wimbledon25941227:34-731
    18Wigan2579926:28-230
    19Burton25861126:35-930
    20Blackpool26851332:39-729
    21Northampton25851223:30-729
    22Doncaster25751325:41-1626
    23Rotherham25661324:38-1424
    24Port Vale24461418:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two