Result
3:2
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 3
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (155/254) | 78% (372/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (155/254) | 78% (372/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (55/119) | 67% (87/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Bayliss T. ⚽,
- 10', Towler R. 🟨,
- 23', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Ibrahim B. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
- 46', Palsson V. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
- 54', Watts C. 🟨,
- 57', Pepple A. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 57', Watts C. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Collins J. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 0, Collins J. (Pen),
- 67', Collins J. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 70', Draper F. 🟨,
- 73', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 73', Draper F. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
- 74', Street R. 🟨,
- 74', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 75', House B. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Oseni O. ⚽, Amaechi X. (A),
- 80', 3 - 2, Amaechi X. ⚽, Mumba B. (A),
- 83', Sorinola M. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
- 86', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 90', Darikwa T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Galloway B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hamilton E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
51.1% | Draw
27.1% | Plymouth Argyle
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.09) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
4.47 ↑
(3.46) |
3.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lincoln: House B.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Red Card)
Jefferies D.
(Injury)
Montsma L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hazard C.
(Knee Injury)
Issaka F.
(Thigh Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Hackett-Fairchild R.
(Injury)
Moylan J.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Plymouth Argyle?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Lincoln City?
Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
10.04.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Lincoln City
0:2
12.11.2022
Lincoln City
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
