Result
1:4
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (218/322) | 66% (227/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (218/322) | 66% (227/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (27/75) | 36% (27/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (56/95) | 57% (86/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.79 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Harding W. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽,
- 14', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
- 45', Pepple A. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
- 58', Oseni O. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 3, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
- 66', Edwards J. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
- 66', Dale O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 73', Street R. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 73', Moylan J. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 79', Bayliss T. 🟨,
- 79', Wiredu B. ↓, Kane H. ↑,
- 79', Watts C. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
- 84', Draper F. ↓, One R. ↑,
- 90+2', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 90+6', One R. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 4, One R. ⚽, Lloyd A. (A),
- 90+8', House B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
32.9% | Draw
27.8% | Lincoln City
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.74) |
3.37 ↑
(3.28) |
2.4 ↓
(2.42) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Plymouth (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lincoln (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0.
- Plymouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lincoln is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Inactive)
Sorinola M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Kane H.
(Groin Injury)
Ralls J.
(Inactive)
Tolaj L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A.
(Surgery)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Lincoln City?
Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Plymouth Argyle?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City were as follows:
16.08.2025
Lincoln City
-
Plymouth Argyle
3:2
10.04.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Lincoln City
0:2
12.11.2022
Lincoln City
-
Plymouth Argyle
1:1
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
