Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
02
Shots on target
02
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
02
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Falasco N. 🟨,
  • 20', Tascone S. 🟨,
  • 23', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Esempio S. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Dionisi F. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Tascone S. , Bernardotto G. ,
  • 69', Sannipoli D. , Tessiore A. ,
  • 73', Hamlili Z. , Odjer M. ,
  • 73', Peralta D. , Biondi K. ,
  • 75', 0 - 2, Biondi K. ,
  • 78', Vitturini D. , Stefanelli F. ,
  • 86', Mawete J. C. , Gentile D. ,
  • 86', Zappella D. , Spavone A. ,
  • 86', Santoro S. , Russo L. ,
  • 90+2', Dionisi F. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 90+2', Marchesi F. , Panaioli L. ,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
42.9%
Draw
29.6%
Livorno
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 25.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 24.6% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livorno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.26)
    3.09
    (3.56)
    3.33
    (2.75)
    9.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Guidonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guidonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio 0:1
    18.12.2024 Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio 2:3
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Livorno
    11.01.2026 Livorno - Juventus U23 1:2
    04.01.2026 Ternana - Livorno 2:1
    20.12.2025 Livorno - Pontedera 2:2
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo26195246:163062
    2Ravenna27174640:251555
    3Ascoli27158446:192753
    4Ternana26128632:23939
    5Campobasso27118836:32439
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese27911729:27238
    8Pineto2699833:33036
    9Livorno271041329:39-1034
    10Gubbio26712721:20133
    11Vis Pesaro26711825:26-132
    12Guidonia26711823:24-132
    13Carpi27881125:32-732
    14Forli26861231:38-730
    15Bra275101229:40-1125
    16Torres274131022:34-1225
    17Perugia26591226:33-724
    18Sambenedettese27591323:31-824
    19Pontedera26381522:48-2617
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation