Guidonia Montecelio vs Livorno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
02
Shots on target
02
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
02
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Falasco N. 🟨,
  • 20', Tascone S. 🟨,
  • 23', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Esempio S. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Dionisi F. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Tascone S. , Bernardotto G. ,
  • 69', Sannipoli D. , Tessiore A. ,
  • 73', Hamlili Z. , Odjer M. ,
  • 73', Peralta D. , Biondi K. ,
  • 75', 0 - 2, Biondi K. ,
  • 78', Vitturini D. , Stefanelli F. ,
  • 86', Mawete J. C. , Gentile D. ,
  • 86', Zappella D. , Spavone A. ,
  • 86', Santoro S. , Russo L. ,
  • 90+2', Dionisi F. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 90+2', Marchesi F. , Panaioli L. ,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
42.9%
Draw
29.6%
Livorno
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 25.8% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 24.6% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Livorno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.26)
    3.09
    (3.56)
    3.33
    (2.75)
    9.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Guidonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guidonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio 0:1
    18.12.2024 Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio 2:3
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Livorno
    11.01.2026 Livorno - Juventus U23 1:2
    04.01.2026 Ternana - Livorno 2:1
    20.12.2025 Livorno - Pontedera 2:2
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo30207350:203067
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna31177743:301358
    4Pineto30129939:37245
    5Campobasso30138941:35645
    6Pianese301013731:28343
    7Juventus U23301271137:36143
    8Gubbio301012826:24242
    9Vis Pesaro301012832:29342
    10Ternana30138936:30642
    11Livorno311071433:44-1137
    12Forli30981338:44-635
    13Guidonia308111125:28-335
    14Carpi318101329:40-1134
    15Perugia307101331:37-631
    16Torres315151127:40-1330
    17Sambenedettese316101524:33-928
    18Bra305111432:45-1326
    19Pontedera30391824:53-2918
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation