Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Perez J. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 46', Martinez J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez C. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 54', Gabriel Araujo 🟨,
- 58', Miranda J. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
- 58', Moncada W. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
- 69', 1 - 2, Moreira R. ⚽,
- 70', Mejia G. ↓, Gotay P. ↑,
- 71', Nunez Ramirez H. J. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 76', Moreira R. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 79', Nunez D. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 3, Pena K. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Arzu Zapata C. I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Génesis PN
42% | Draw
28.5% | Lobos UPNFM
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.08) |
3.2 ↓
(3.25) |
3.09 ↓
(3.1) |
9.8%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Génesis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Génesis won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Génesis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 2.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Lobos UPNFM?
Génesis PN has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Génesis PN?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
23.07.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
2:1
12.03.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
1:1
25.01.2025
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
20.10.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Génesis PN
1:4
09.08.2024
Génesis PN
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:0
Latest results of Génesis PN
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
