Result
3:0
18/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (290/380) | 85% (416/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (290/380) | 85% (416/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/117) | 70% (94/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.40 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. ⚽, Barinov D. (A),
- 43', Rudenko A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Joao Victor ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
- 67', Barinov D. 🟨,
- 67', Henrique Carmo ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
- 71', Rudenko A. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 71', Karpukas A. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 71', Batrakov A. 🟨,
- 77', Glebov K. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 0, Komlichenko N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
35.6% | Draw
27.9% | CSKA Moscow
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75
(2.75) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
2.67 ↑
(2.56) |
2.4%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
CSKA Moscow has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
01.10.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
30.07.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:1
19.05.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
2:2
18.08.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
0:1
13.04.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
3:3
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 29:16 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Zenit | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Baltika | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
