Krylya Sovetov vs Lokomotiv Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Samara Arena (Samara).

: Premier League - Round 22
Referee: Sergeevich I. (Rus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.10	1.07
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
12	4
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
74% (268/361)	84% (470/557)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
3.57	1.21
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
12	4
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
15	8
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
27	24
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
74% (268/361)	84% (470/557)
Long passes
35% (24/68)	57% (28/49)
Passes in final third
64% (57/89)	66% (99/151)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	0.79
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
76% (13/17)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
47	44
Clearances Total
31	18
Interceptions
17	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
1.21	3.57
Goals prevented
1.21	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Oroz D. ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, Sergeev I. ⚽, Ezhov R. (A),
31', Karpukas A. 🟨,
32', 3 - 0, Oleynikov I. ⚽, Rasskazov N. (A),
40', 4 - 0, Bijl G. ⚽, Sergeev I. (A),
43', Lucas Fasson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Karpukas A. ↓, Rakov V. ↑,
46', Nenakhov M. ↓, Suleymanov T. ↑,
46', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
49', 5 - 0, Sergeev I. ⚽, Fernando Costanza (A),
59', Timofeev A. ↓, Godyaev D. ↑,
59', Vorobyev D. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
62', 5 - 1, Bijl G. (Own goal),
72', Rasskazov N. ↓, Shitov V. ↑,
72', Babkin S. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
75', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
78', Galdames T. ↓, Pechenin K. ↑,
78', Ezhov R. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
84', Oleynikov I. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,

Chances of winning

Krylya Sovetov
26.1%

Draw
27.3%

Lokomotiv Moscow
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.6)	3.4 ↓ (3.75)	2 ↓ (2.07)	7.5% (2.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 0.
Lokomotiv is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lokomotiv will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Gaponov I. (Red Card) Lomaev I. (Shoulder Injury) Vityugov M. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Lokomotiv: Barinov D. (Knee Injury) Pinyaev S. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 1 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:33 (average 0.9:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Krylya Sovetov won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Krylya Sovetov has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:

06.10.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:0

25.11.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:3

12.08.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:1

14.05.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1

Latest results of Krylya Sovetov

15.03.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylya Sovetov 4:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Akron Tolyatti 0:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Pari NN - Krylya Sovetov 3:1 ✺

07.12.2024 Rostov - Krylya Sovetov 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

15.03.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 1:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 ✺

18.02.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Ural 2:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Baltika	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Torpedo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FK Rostov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zenit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Spartak Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CSKA Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lokomotiv Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dynamo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Rubin Kazan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Krylya Sovetov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Akhmat Grozny	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Krasnodar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pari NN	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Akron Togliatti	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Dynamo Makhachkala	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sochi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Kazakhstan	Q Football, Q Sport International
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4