Result
2:2
31/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/424) | 80% (330/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/424) | 80% (330/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (47/83) | 60% (58/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Prutsev D. (A),
- 10', Rudenko A. 🟨,
- 17', Akhmetov I. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Barinov D. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Akhmetov I. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
- 46', Rasskazov N. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
- 46', Galdames T. ↓, Pechenin K. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Rahmanovic A. ⚽, Rakov V. (A),
- 55', Barinov D. 🟨,
- 60', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
- 68', Rudenko A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 68', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
- 70', Soldatenkov A. 🟨,
- 71', Chernov N. 🟨,
- 78', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 79', Nenakhov M. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
- 79', Bakaev Z. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
- 79', Babkin S. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
- 85', Chernov N. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
- 86', Komlichenko N. 🟨,
- 86', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Rakov V. (Pen),
- 90+9', Bozhin S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
56.8% | Draw
24.6% | Krylya Sovetov
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.73) |
3.91 ↑
(3.5) |
5.15 ↑
(5) |
4.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov?
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Moscow will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 1.
- Lokomotiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Krylya Sovetov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Krylya Sovetov has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
28.03.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
5:1
06.10.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:0
25.11.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
3:3
12.08.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:1
14.05.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
