Krylya Sovetov vs Lokomotiv Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
19/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Football Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
45
Free kicks
1622

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', Batrakov A. 🟨,
  • 37', Pechenin K. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Komlichenko N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', 1 - 1, Oleynikov I. , Pechenin K. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Akhmetov I. , Oleynikov I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Myalkovskiy R. , Bakaev Z. ,
  • 46', Ramirez C. , Lucas Fasson ,
  • 56', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
  • 56', Godyaev D. , Karpukas A. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Silyanov A. , Batrakov A. (A),
  • 69', Rudenko A. , Sarveli V. ,
  • 73', Rasskazov N. , Galdames T. ,
  • 75', Prutsev D. , Vorobyev D. ,
  • 80', Akhmetov I. , Khubulov V. ,
  • 86', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
  • 87', Babkin S. , Banjac M. ,
  • 90+4', Khubulov V. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Komlichenko N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Banjac M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Vorobyev D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Galdames T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Batrakov A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Oleynikov I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sarveli V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Fernando Costanza (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Morozov E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Pechenin K. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Krylya Sovetov
20.1%
Draw
23.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 26.5% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7% 25.9% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.81
    (4.14)
    4.06
    (3.63)
    1.72
    (1.92)
    3.6%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Lokomotiv (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Krylya Sovetov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 2:2
    28.03.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow 5:1
    06.10.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:0
    25.11.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:3
    12.08.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:1
    Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow0 : 1, 5 : 2
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar0 : 4, 3 : 1

    Final
    1Dynamo MoscowKrasnodar