Longford Town vs Finn Harps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
62
Corner kicks
75
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
88
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
26
Corner kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Errity C. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Bradley-Walsh J. ,
  • 44', McDaid A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Zerrouk I. 🟨,
  • 71', Murtagh D. , Doran A. ,
  • 71', Manuel P. , Paraschiv A. ,
  • 71', Williams D. , O'Brien L. ,
  • 71', Moore S. , Campbell F. ,
  • 75', Ajibola T. , Bradley S. ,
  • 75', McDaid A. , Membou T. ,
  • 84', McKenna D. , Ugbesia S. ,
  • 87', Lumingo N. , Johnston M. ,
  • 89', McNamee T. , McHugh O. ,
  • 90+2', Paraschiv A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Longford Town
44.9%
Draw
27.1%
Finn Harps
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 27.8% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.2% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Longford Town's performance.
  • Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Finn Harps might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Longford Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Finn Harps could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Longford Town - Finn Harps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.67)
    3.41
    (3.31)
    3.32
    (2.44)
    8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Longford Town - Finn Harps?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Longford will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Finn Harps will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Longford: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Longford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Longford won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Longford won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Longford Town - Finn Harps were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Longford Town - Finn Harps 1:1
    04.07.2025 Finn Harps - Longford Town 0:0
    17.05.2025 Longford Town - Finn Harps 0:0
    04.04.2025 Finn Harps - Longford Town 1:1
    13.09.2024 Finn Harps - Longford Town 1:0
    Latest results of Longford Town
    Latest results of Finn Harps
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cork City972018:61223
    2Wexford1044214:13116
    3UC Dublin1043313:7615
    4Bray1043312:11115
    5Cobh Ramblers1043313:14-115
    6Athlone1041511:14-313
    7Finn Harps1025310:12-211
    8Longford102447:9-210
    9Kerry1014511:16-57
    10Treaty United91358:15-76

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