Puente Genil vs Lorca Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 86', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Puente Genil
45.9%
Draw
31.5%
Lorca Deportiva
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 31.4% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.5% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puente Genil's performance.
  • Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Puente Genil - Lorca Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.36)
    2.88
    (2.89)
    4.02
    (3.02)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puente Genil won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puente Genil - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
    12.11.2025 Lorca Deportiva - Puente Genil 1:0
    Latest results of Puente Genil
    04.01.2026 Minera - Puente Genil 2:1
    14.12.2025 Estepona - Puente Genil 1:2
    07.12.2025 Puente Genil - Almeria B 1:0
    30.11.2025 Puente Genil - Melilla 0:0
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xerez CD28156730:21951
    2Deportiva Minera28155840:271350
    3UCAM Murcia28147741:32949
    4Aguilas FC28147736:221449
    5Recreativo Huelva28139635:171848
    6CD Extremadura281211542:321047
    7Jaen28129734:28645
    8Lorca Deportiva281261028:28042
    9Linares28912732:37-539
    10Yeclano281141325:25037
    11La Union281061234:35-136
    12Antoniano281061231:33-236
    13Xerez D.F.C288101031:33-234
    14Puente Genil28891123:31-833
    15CD Estepona28861429:38-930
    16Melilla286111127:30-329
    17Almeria B28471720:40-2019
    18Malaga B ✔ 28352022:51-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Malaga B is Relegated to