Lorient vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
25/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Legat P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.871.68
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
55
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1214
Offsides
12
Fouls
1412
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
2220
Touches in the Opposition Box
3319
Passes
83% (370/444)83% (352/426)
Passes in the final third
73% (97/132)70% (76/109)
Crosses
19% (3/16)17% (3/18)
Tackles
89% (8/9)77% (10/13)
Clearances Total
2116
Interceptions
148

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Jacquet J. , Keita H. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Laporte J. ,
  • 28', Gastien J. 🟨,
  • 28', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 1, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 3 - 1, Pagis P. , Makengo J. (A),
  • 71', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Katseris P. ,
  • 72', Igor Silva , Kalulu G. ,
  • 72', Kroupi E. J. , Soumano S. ,
  • 72', Diaby Y. , Bamba K. ,
  • 73', Diallo B. , Armougom Y. ,
  • 82', Pagis P. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 86', Douane M. , Baaloudj M. ,
  • 86', Konate C. O. , M'Bahia I. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Bassouamina M. , Bamba K. (A),
  • 90+9', Makengo J. , Genton E. ,
  • 90+10', Jacquet J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lorient
57.4%
Draw
24.2%
Clermont
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 23.1% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 23.9% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Clermont aligns with the current prediction.
  • Lorient - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.62)
    3.91
    (4.06)
    5.13
    (4.93)
    5.8%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Clermont?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 23.2%66.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 2.
    • Lorient is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Clermont is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Lorient have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Lorient is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Ackra A. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Injury) Inchaud M. (Broken ankle) Saivet H. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Lorient won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Clermont were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Clermont - Lorient 2:1
    19.05.2024 Lorient - Clermont 5:0
    12.11.2023 Clermont - Lorient 1:0
    27.05.2023 Clermont - Lorient 2:0
    28.08.2022 Lorient - Clermont 2:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    18.01.2025 Dunkerque - Lorient 0:1
    15.01.2025 Cannes - Lorient 2:1
    11.01.2025 Lorient - Metz 0:0
    04.01.2025 Laval - Lorient 2:0
    21.12.2024 Tours - Lorient Postponed
    Latest results of Clermont
    18.01.2025 Clermont - Laval 1:1
    10.01.2025 Martigues - Clermont 0:1
    03.01.2025 Caen - Clermont 0:1
    22.12.2024 Sochaux - Clermont 1:0
    13.12.2024 Clermont - Rodez 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes32197656:322464
    2Le Mans321513447:301758
    3St Etienne32176953:361757
    4Red Star32159841:35654
    5Reims321313647:311652
    6Rodez321313641:37452
    7Montpellier321481039:281150
    8Annecy321471146:361049
    9Pau FC321291144:54-1045
    10Dunkerque3211101151:411043
    11Guingamp3210101242:47-540
    12Boulogne32991432:45-1336
    13Grenoble326151131:39-833
    14Clermont327101535:43-831
    15Nancy327101529:49-2031
    16Laval325141328:43-1529
    17Bastia324131522:37-1525
    18Amiens32662036:57-2124

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National