Dunkerque vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
37
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Free Kicks
1912
Offsides
28
Fouls
1219
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
1611
Touches in the Opposition Box
1718
Passes
82% (414/505)78% (316/406)
Passes in the final third
62% (63/101)71% (61/86)
Crosses
17% (3/18)8% (1/13)
Tackles
57% (4/7)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
1321
Interceptions
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Talbi M. , Kroupi E. J. (A),
  • 23', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Raghouber U. 🟨,
  • 54', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 59', Rivera M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 67', Essimi M. , Courtet G. ,
  • 68', Abner F. , Youssouf B. ,
  • 69', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 75', Skytta N. , Sekongo A. ,
  • 76', Makengo J. , Genton E. ,
  • 77', Pagis P. , Soumano S. ,
  • 81', Genton E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Igor Silva 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kroupi E. J. , Kalulu G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/f6ch9je6

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
32.8%
Draw
29.9%
Lorient
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 28.3% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dunkerque - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.29)
    3.17
    (3.48)
    2.51
    (2.17)
    6.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 24.9%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Recent matches Dunkerque is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lorient is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Dunkerque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Lorient were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Lorient - Dunkerque 4:2
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    04.01.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 1:1
    22.12.2024 Auxerre - Dunkerque 0:1
    16.12.2024 Dunkerque - Caen 3:1
    09.12.2024 Metz - Dunkerque 2:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    15.01.2025 Cannes - Lorient 2:1
    11.01.2025 Lorient - Metz 0:0
    04.01.2025 Laval - Lorient 2:0
    21.12.2024 Tours - Lorient Postponed
    14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National