Dunkerque vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.59
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
37
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
Free Kicks
1912
Offsides
28
Fouls
1219
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
1611
Touches in the Opposition Box
1718
Passes
82% (414/505)78% (316/406)
Passes in the final third
62% (63/101)71% (61/86)
Crosses
17% (3/18)8% (1/13)
Tackles
57% (4/7)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
1321
Interceptions
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Talbi M. , Kroupi E. J. (A),
  • 23', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Raghouber U. 🟨,
  • 54', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 59', Rivera M. , Tejan K. ,
  • 67', Essimi M. , Courtet G. ,
  • 68', Abner F. , Youssouf B. ,
  • 69', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 75', Skytta N. , Sekongo A. ,
  • 76', Makengo J. , Genton E. ,
  • 77', Pagis P. , Soumano S. ,
  • 81', Genton E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Igor Silva 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kroupi E. J. , Kalulu G. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/f6ch9je6

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
32.8%
Draw
29.9%
Lorient
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 28.3% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dunkerque - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.29)
    3.17
    (3.48)
    2.51
    (2.17)
    6.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 24.9%69.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Recent matches Dunkerque is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lorient is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Dunkerque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Lorient were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Lorient - Dunkerque 4:2
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    04.01.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 1:1
    22.12.2024 Auxerre - Dunkerque 0:1
    16.12.2024 Dunkerque - Caen 3:1
    09.12.2024 Metz - Dunkerque 2:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    15.01.2025 Cannes - Lorient 2:1
    11.01.2025 Lorient - Metz 0:0
    04.01.2025 Laval - Lorient 2:0
    21.12.2024 Tours - Lorient Postponed
    14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne29166751:302154
    3Le Mans291411445:291653
    4Reims301212643:281548
    5Red Star29139732:27548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque291010944:35940
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne29981230:38-835
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia293121416:32-1621

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National