Result
1:3
16/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (523/580) | 86% (320/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (523/580) | 86% (320/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (173/211) | 80% (86/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/34) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 2.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 63', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Dieng B. ⚽,
- 70', Ouattara K. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
- 70', Teze J. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
- 71', Zakaria D. 🟨,
- 75', Dieng B. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 75', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Fati A. ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 2, Makengo J. ⚽, Karim D. (A),
- 87', 1 - 3, Karim D. ⚽, Cadiou N. (A),
- 90+1', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 90+1', Igor Silva ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
- 90+3', Balogun F. ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
- 90+5', Cadiou N. ↓, Bley M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monaco
58.1% | Draw
22.7% | Lorient
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Monaco - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.57) |
4.18 ↓
(4.45) |
4.91 ↓
(5.06) |
5.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monaco - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
80 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 62 - 77.5%). Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 68.3% – 86.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1.
- Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lorient is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Monaco is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Monaco: Bamba A.
(Illness)
Cabral P.
(Muscle Injury)
Camara L.
(International duty)
Coulibaly M.
(Red Card)
Diatta K.
(International duty)
Hradecky L.
(Knee Injury)
Idumbo S.
(Red Card)
Kehrer T.
(Yellow Cards)
Mawissa C.
(Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Pogba P.
(Calf Injury)
Salisu M.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Lorient: Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Tosin A.
(Knee Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
Yongwa D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Balogun F.
(Injury)
Fati A.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanderson
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Soumano S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Lorient?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Monaco?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Lorient were as follows:
27.09.2025
Lorient
-
Monaco
3:1
17.03.2024
Monaco
-
Lorient
2:2
17.09.2023
Lorient
-
Monaco
2:2
16.04.2023
Monaco
-
Lorient
3:1
11.01.2023
Lorient
-
Monaco
2:2
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
