Lorient vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 20
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.551.05
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
42
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
14
Passes
87% (496/567)84% (351/418)
Yellow cards
45
Expected goals (xG)
0.551.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.920.50
Total shots
510
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
16
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
38
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1812
Passes
87% (496/567)84% (351/418)
Long passes
49% (22/45)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
70% (84/120)69% (61/89)
Crosses
12% (2/17)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.63
Throw ins
1721
Fouls
1218
Tackles
71% (10/14)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.92
Goals prevented
-0.50-1.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 30', Dieng B. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Dieng B. ⚽, Le Bris T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Sissoko I. 🟨,
  • 54', Centonze F. 🟨,
  • 60', Sissoko I. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
  • 61', Leroux L. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
  • 66', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
  • 66', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Kaba M. (A),
  • 75', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
  • 76', Meite B. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
  • 77', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
  • 78', Lepenant J. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
  • 78', Centonze F. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
  • 84', Lopes A. 🟨,
  • 85', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 86', Abergel L. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
  • 88', Ali Youssef 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Kouassi A. ⚽,
  • 90', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Cabella R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lorient
50.3%		Draw
27.4%		Nantes
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 26% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.7% 21.8%

Lorient - Nantes Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.89 ↑
(1.82)		 3.48 ↓
(3.63)		 4.25 ↓
(4.28)		 5.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Nantes?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Lorient (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lorient will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 9 - 75%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
    • Lorient has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lorient is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Tosin A. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F. (Lacking Match Fitness) Machado D. (Injury) Tati T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Bamba M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Nantes were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1
    07.08.2024 Nantes - Lorient 1:1
    24.02.2024 Lorient - Nantes 0:1
    23.09.2023 Nantes - Lorient 5:3
    02.08.2023 Lorient - Nantes 3:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    24.01.2026 Rennes - Lorient 0:2 ✺
    16.01.2026 Monaco - Lorient 1:3 ✺
    10.01.2026 Hauts Lyonnais - Lorient 1:3 ✺
    04.01.2026 Lorient - Metz 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Le Gosier - Lorient 0:7 ✺
    Latest results of Nantes
    25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4 ✺
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Concarneau - Nantes 3:5 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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