Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 13
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/492) | 83% (331/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/492) | 83% (331/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 56% (32/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (89/129) | 68% (65/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Awaziem C. (Own goal),
- 45+6', Lopes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Tosin A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 59', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
- 59', El Arabi Y. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
- 59', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 62', Lahdo M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 71', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 76', Yongwa D. 🟨,
- 81', Tabibou D. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Awaziem C. ⚽,
- 90+2', Meite B. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nantes 34.2% | Draw 28.2% | Lorient 37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nantes - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.77 ↑ (2.45) |
3.44 ↓ (3.45) |
2.61 ↓ (2.82) |
3.5% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lorient (1.72) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Lorient (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Lorient (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 2 - 25%). Lorient (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Nantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Leroux L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L.
(Muscle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Igor Silva
(Heel Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Lahdo M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lepenant J.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lorient?
Nantes has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Nantes?
Lorient has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Lorient were as follows:
07.08.2024
Nantes
-
Lorient
1:1
24.02.2024
Lorient
-
Nantes
0:1
23.09.2023
Nantes
-
Lorient
5:3
02.08.2023
Lorient
-
Nantes
3:1
12.02.2023
Nantes
-
Lorient
1:0
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2