Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 20
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (496/567) | 84% (351/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (496/567) | 84% (351/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (84/120) | 69% (61/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Meite B. 🟨,
- 30', Dieng B. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Dieng B. ⚽, Le Bris T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Sissoko I. 🟨,
- 54', Centonze F. 🟨,
- 60', Sissoko I. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
- 61', Leroux L. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
- 66', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 66', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Kaba M. (A),
- 75', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 76', Meite B. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
- 77', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 78', Lepenant J. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
- 78', Centonze F. ↓, Acapandie M. ↑,
- 84', Lopes A. 🟨,
- 85', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 86', Abergel L. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 88', Ali Youssef 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 1, Kouassi A. ⚽,
- 90', Kouassi A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Cabella R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
50.3% | Draw
27.4% | Nantes
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Lorient - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.82) |
3.48 ↓
(3.63) |
4.25 ↓
(4.28) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Nantes?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Lorient (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lorient will win
(29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 9 - 75%). Nantes (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
- Lorient has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Nantes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lorient is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Tosin A.
(Knee Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
Yongwa D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Guilbert F.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Machado D.
(Injury)
Tati T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Bamba M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Nantes?
Lorient has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Lorient?
Nantes has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Nantes were as follows:
23.11.2025
Nantes
-
Lorient
1:1
07.08.2024
Nantes
-
Lorient
1:1
24.02.2024
Lorient
-
Nantes
0:1
23.09.2023
Nantes
-
Lorient
5:3
02.08.2023
Lorient
-
Nantes
3:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
