Result
3:1
30/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 14
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/428) | 87% (486/557) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (366/428) | 87% (486/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (111/132) | 71% (92/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Avom A. (Own goal),
- 27', Yongwa D. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Abergel L. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Soumano S. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 3 - 1, Soumano S. ⚽, Meite B. (A),
- 56', Diop S. 🟨,
- 59', Diop S. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 60', Gouveia T. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 61', Peprah K. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
- 64', Makengo J. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
- 64', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 68', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 76', Cho M. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 79', Soumano S. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
- 79', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 85', Meite B. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
- 90', Jansson I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
39.6% | Draw
27.8% | Nice
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lorient - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.48) |
3.45
(3.45) |
2.93 ↑
(2.85) |
4.3%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Nice?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Nice will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 17.2% – 54.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 0.
- Recent form of Lorient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nice has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Kouassi A.
(Inactive)
Meite B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Nice?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lorient?
Nice has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Nice were as follows:
19.04.2024
Nice
-
Lorient
3:0
20.08.2023
Lorient
-
Nice
1:1
19.03.2023
Nice
-
Lorient
1:1
30.10.2022
Lorient
-
Nice
1:2
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | PSG | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32:12 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:23 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Angers | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 11 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
