Lorient vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 5
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
belarusBelarusSport TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.310.67
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
08
Passes
82% (285/349)86% (419/488)
Yellow cards
41
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.310.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
913
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
59
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
26
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
622
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free kicks
167
Passes
82% (285/349)86% (419/488)
Long passes
43% (20/46)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
59% (44/74)76% (115/152)
Crosses
30% (3/10)12% (4/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.211.68
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
716
Tackles
71% (10/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
3912
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
0.000.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Pagis P. 🟥,
  • 45', Pantaloni O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Diallo Z. , Cho M. ,
  • 46', Peprah K. , Louchet T. ,
  • 56', Ndombele T. , Kevin ,
  • 57', Abergel L. , Cadiou N. ,
  • 70', Kevin 🟨,
  • 70', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 71', Makengo J. , Karim D. ,
  • 72', Yongwa D. , Faye A. ,
  • 80', Dieng B. , Soumano S. ,
  • 80', Le Bris T. , Katseris P. ,
  • 82', Dante , Bah J. ,
  • 82', Boudache K. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 85', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Bernardeau G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Cadiou N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Clauss J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Talbi M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Louchet T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Kouassi A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sanson M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Soumano S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Kevin (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Avom A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Mendy A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Katseris P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Vanhoutte C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Faye A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Cho M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Meite B. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Lorient
31.8%
Draw
35.6%
Nice
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27.4% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Lorient - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (2.16)
    3.08
    (3.37)
    3.41
    (3.27)
    -11.5%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Nice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Lorient (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Lorient (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lorient will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorient will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lorient might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Faye A. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Diop S. (Yellow Cards) Jansson I. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Pereira E. (Injury) Wahi E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Kouassi A. (Injury) Sanusi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Nice were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1
    19.04.2024 Nice - Lorient 3:0
    20.08.2023 Lorient - Nice 1:1
    19.03.2023 Nice - Lorient 1:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    01.03.2026 Lorient - Auxerre 2:2
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3
    15.02.2026 Lorient - Angers 2:0
    07.02.2026 Brest - Lorient 2:0
    04.02.2026 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    Latest results of Nice
    01.03.2026 Paris FC - Nice 1:0
    22.02.2026 Nice - Lorient 3:3
    15.02.2026 Lyon - Nice 2:0
    08.02.2026 Nice - Monaco 0:0
    04.02.2026 Nice - Montpellier 3:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse