Lorient vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:1
30/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.900.82
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
86% (366/428)87% (486/557)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.900.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.95
Total shots
189
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
3318
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
117
Passes
86% (366/428)87% (486/557)
Long passes
55% (27/49)48% (23/48)
Passes in final third
84% (111/132)71% (92/129)
Crosses
35% (7/20)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
2.501.11
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
711
Tackles
82% (9/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4045
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.951.33
Goals prevented
0.95-1.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Avom A. (Own goal),
  • 27', Yongwa D. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Abergel L. ⚽,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Soumano S. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 3 - 1, Soumano S. ⚽, Meite B. (A),
  • 56', Diop S. 🟨,
  • 59', Diop S. ↓, Kevin ↑,
  • 60', Gouveia T. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
  • 61', Peprah K. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
  • 64', Makengo J. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
  • 64', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
  • 68', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
  • 76', Cho M. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
  • 79', Soumano S. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
  • 79', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
  • 85', Meite B. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
  • 90', Jansson I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lorient
39.6%		Draw
27.8%		Nice
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.8% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 28.7% 32.6%

Lorient - Nice Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.43 ↓
(2.48)		 3.45
(3.45)		 2.93 ↑
(2.85)		 4.3%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Nice will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 17.2% – 54.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Nice (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Nice (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Lorient (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 2 - 25%). Nice (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 0.
    • Recent form of Lorient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nice has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Kouassi A. (Inactive) Meite B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Nice were as follows:
    19.04.2024 Nice - Lorient 3:0
    20.08.2023 Lorient - Nice 1:1
    19.03.2023 Nice - Lorient 1:1
    30.10.2022 Lorient - Nice 1:2
    Latest results of Lorient
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Lorient - Toulouse 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Lens - Lorient 3:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Angers - Lorient 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺
    09.11.2025 Metz - Nice 2:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Nice - Freiburg 1:3 ✺
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG20153243:162748
    2Lens20151434:161846
    3Marseille20123546:222439
    4Lyon20123533:201339
    5Lille20102834:30432
    6Rennes2087530:31-131
    7Strasbourg2093833:25830
    8Toulouse2086631:23830
    9Lorient2077627:31-428
    10Monaco2083932:33-127
    11Angers2075821:25-426
    12Brest2065926:33-723
    13Nice20641027:38-1122
    14Paris FC2056926:34-821
    15Le Havre2048816:25-920
    16Nantes20351219:36-1714
    17Auxerre20341314:29-1513
    18Metz20331421:46-2512

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