Lorient vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.470.27
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
72
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
64
Passes
86% (383/444)86% (409/473)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.470.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.27
Total shots
158
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free kicks
179
Passes
86% (383/444)86% (409/473)
Long passes
54% (26/48)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)70% (78/111)
Crosses
24% (4/17)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.59
Throw ins
1217
Fouls
917
Tackles
89% (17/19)54% (7/13)
Duels won
6038
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.272.21
Goals prevented
0.271.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Koleosho L. 🟨,
  • 30', Ikone J. 🟨,
  • 42', Talbi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Cadiou N. ,
  • 58', Geubbels W. , Kebbal I. ,
  • 58', Koleosho L. , Matondo R. ,
  • 58', Marchetti V. , Immobile C. ,
  • 68', Makengo J. , Tosin A. ,
  • 68', Kouassi A. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 69', Leaudais L. , Katseris P. ,
  • 74', Ikone J. , Krasso J. ,
  • 77', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 78', Yongwa D. , Meite B. ,
  • 79', Munetsi M. , Camara A. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Mbow M. (Own goal), Le Bris T. (A),
  • 86', Karim D. , Pagis P. ,
  • 90+1', Matondo R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lorient
39.1%
Draw
29.3%
Paris FC
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 27.3% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Lorient - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.17)
    3.24
    (3.24)
    3
    (3.31)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Paris FC will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 45.2%82.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Paris FC (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Paris FC (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorient will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 3 - 60%). Paris FC (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3.
    • Lorient has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paris FC has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lorient could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Paris FC were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0
    08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2
    14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    31.01.2026 Lorient - Nantes 2:1
    24.01.2026 Rennes - Lorient 0:2
    16.01.2026 Monaco - Lorient 1:3
    10.01.2026 Hauts Lyonnais - Lorient 1:3
    04.01.2026 Lorient - Metz 1:1
    Latest results of Paris FC
    25.01.2026 Paris FC - Angers 0:0
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    2BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    3Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    4BloisClermont2 : 1
    5MarseilleBye
    7Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    8Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    9CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    10PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    11WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    12BesanconThionville4 : 0
    13Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    14PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    16ByeRennes
    17PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    18OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    20ByeAngers
    21PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    22Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    24ByeToulouse
    25MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    26GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    27Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    28LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    29Le HavreBye
    31Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    32AubyAmiens0 : 3
    33BrestBye
    35AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    36SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    37StrasbourgBye
    39ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    40BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    41Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    42OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    43JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    44Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    45AuxerreBye
    48ByeMonaco
    49Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    50ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    51FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    52EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    53IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    54Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    55AvionTorcy0 : 2
    56OCPAMReims0 : 1
    57Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    58IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    59Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    60MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    61CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    62Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    63SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    64GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    2RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    3MarseilleBye
    4SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    5CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    6FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    7Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    8ByeRennes
    9PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    10ByeAngers
    11Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    12ByeToulouse
    13MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    14ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    15Le HavreBye
    16Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    17BrestBye
    18AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    19StrasbourgBye
    20AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    21Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    22BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    23AuxerreBye
    24ByeMonaco
    25ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    26MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    27IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    28TorcyReims1 : 5
    29Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    30PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    31AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    32SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    2MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    3ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    4Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    5Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    6Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    7MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    8Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    9BrestAvranches1 : 2
    10StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    11OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    12AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    13Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    14IC CroixReims0 : 4
    15Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    16GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    2ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    3AngersToulouse1 : 2
    4MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    5AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    6OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    7Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    8Le MansNancy1 : 0
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    2ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    3StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    4ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1MarseilleToulouse
    2StrasbourgReims
    3LyonLens
    4LorientNice