Lorient vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.171.04
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
35
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
56
Passes
87% (386/445)87% (387/447)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.171.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.231.43
Total shots
107
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
20
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
40
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
68
Passes
87% (386/445)87% (387/447)
Long passes
61% (31/51)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
75% (78/104)82% (138/169)
Crosses
27% (7/26)29% (9/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.92
Throw ins
1419
Fouls
86
Tackles
77% (10/13)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.430.23
Goals prevented
0.43-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Camara A. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Dieng B. ⚽, Pagis P. (A),
  • 67', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
  • 71', Ikone J. ↓, Kebbal I. ↑,
  • 71', Geubbels W. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
  • 71', Lopez M. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
  • 71', Camara A. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 72', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
  • 72', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Munetsi M. ⚽,
  • 80', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 82', Le Bris T. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
  • 86', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Simon M. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lorient
39.7%		Draw
29.2%		Paris FC
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.8% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 30.1% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Lorient - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.28)    		 3.25 ↓
    (3.29)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.18)    		 5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lorient - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 24.9% – 69.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3.
    • Recent performances by Lorient have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paris FC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lorient is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Krasso J. (Knee Injury) Lopez J. (Back Injury) Marchetti V. (Lower Back Injury) Matondo R. (Red Card) Riou R. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Paris FC were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0
    08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2
    14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    Latest results of Lorient
    21.03.2026 Toulouse - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2026 Lorient - Lens 2:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Lille - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    04.03.2026 Lorient - Nice 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Lorient - Auxerre 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    22.03.2026 Paris FC - Le Havre 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Strasbourg - Paris FC 0:0 ✺
    08.03.2026 Lyon - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Paris FC - Nice 1:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Toulouse - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Marseille29164958:382052
    4Lille28155845:341150
    5Monaco291541050:43749
    6Lyon28146841:291248
    7Rennes28138747:40747
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient28911838:42-438
    10Toulouse281071139:35437
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers28961324:37-1333
    14Le Havre286101223:36-1328
    15Nice28761533:55-2227
    16Auxerre28581523:37-1423
    17Nantes27461724:45-2118
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

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