Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 7
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (597/653) | 85% (382/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (597/653) | 85% (382/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (36/53) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (103/123) | 73% (56/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Kebbal I. ⚽, Krasso J. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Krasso J. ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 45+1', Kouassi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Faye A. 🟨,
- 60', Pagis P. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 60', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 68', Krasso J. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 68', Traore H. ↓, Chergui S. ↑,
- 68', Camara A. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
- 77', Makengo J. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 77', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 79', Faye A. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
- 85', Simon M. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
- 90+2', Kebbal I. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
59.4% | Draw
23.7% | Lorient
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paris FC - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.93) |
4.27 ↑
(3.78) |
6.1 ↑
(3.74) |
-0.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 60.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris FC will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Paris FC is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Doucet L.
(Inactive)
Hamel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Marchetti V.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lorient?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Paris FC?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Lorient were as follows:
08.03.2025
Paris FC
-
Lorient
3:2
14.12.2024
Lorient
-
Paris FC
2:0
Latest results of Paris FC
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
