Paris FC vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.98
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
91% (597/653)85% (382/451)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.31
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
91% (597/653)85% (382/451)
Long passes
68% (36/53)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
84% (103/123)73% (56/77)
Crosses
15% (2/13)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.02
Throw-ins
1120
Fouls
1910
Tackles
69% (11/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4455
Clearances
2712
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.310.68
Goals prevented
0.31-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Kebbal I. , Krasso J. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Krasso J. , Simon M. (A),
  • 45+1', Kouassi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Faye A. 🟨,
  • 60', Pagis P. , Tosin A. ,
  • 60', Bamba M. , Soumano S. ,
  • 68', Krasso J. , Ikone J. ,
  • 68', Traore H. , Chergui S. ,
  • 68', Camara A. , Geubbels W. ,
  • 77', Makengo J. , Mvuka Mugisha J. ,
  • 77', Kouassi A. , Yongwa D. ,
  • 79', Faye A. , Dieng B. ,
  • 85', Simon M. , Sangui N. ,
  • 90+2', Kebbal I. , Lopez J. ,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
59.4%
Draw
23.7%
Lorient
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 23.4% 27.5%

Paris FC - Lorient Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.93)
4.27
(3.78)
6.1
(3.74)
-0.5%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 60.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris FC will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Paris FC is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Doucet L. (Inactive) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Marchetti V. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Lorient were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 3:2
    14.12.2024 Lorient - Paris FC 2:0
    Latest results of Paris FC
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2
    Latest results of Lorient
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens17131331:131840
    2PSG17123237:152239
    3Marseille17102536:171932
    4Lille17102533:221132
    5Lyon1793525:17830
    6Rennes1786329:24530
    7Strasbourg1773726:21524
    8Toulouse1765624:22223
    9Monaco1772827:30-323
    10Angers1764718:20-222
    11Brest1764723:27-422
    12Lorient1747620:29-919
    13Le Havre1746715:23-818
    14Nice1753920:30-1018
    15Paris FC1744922:31-916
    16Nantes1735916:28-1214
    17Auxerre17331114:27-1312
    18Metz17331118:38-2012

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