Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.22
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
86% (473/550)83% (332/400)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.961.22
xG on target (xGOT)
0.882.11
Total shots
167
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
86% (473/550)83% (332/400)
Long passes
54% (25/46)38% (17/45)
Passes in final third
76% (137/181)80% (127/159)
Crosses
18% (2/11)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1217
Tackles
48% (12/25)81% (13/16)
Duels won
6146
Clearances
1125
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.110.88
Goals prevented
0.11-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
  • 11', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 38', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Uzuni M. , Rubio D. (A), Hines-Ike B. (A2)
  • 44', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Bukari O. 🟨,
  • 58', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 62', Rubio D. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 62', Stuver B. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Wolff O. , Uzuni M. (A),
  • 73', Cerrillo E. , Parente I. ,
  • 73', Fagundez D. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 82', Wolff O. , Taylor R. ,
  • 82', Sanchez I. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 85', Svatok O. , Cascante J. ,
  • 85', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 85', Yoshida M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Paintsil J. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 90+6', Uzuni M. , Fodrey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
50.1%
Draw
25.4%
Austin FC
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 25.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 26.8% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.04)
    3.72
    (3.68)
    3.86
    (3.44)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Austin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - LA Galaxy (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Austin (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Austin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 2.
    • LA Galaxy has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Austin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • LA Galaxy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0
    05.10.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC 2:1
    27.04.2024 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:0
    24.09.2023 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3
    22.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC 2:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Latest results of Austin FC
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)