Result
0:3
15/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CONCACAF Champions Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (441/520) | 82% (319/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (441/520) | 82% (319/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (91/123) | 76% (93/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Gallardo J. ⚽, Romero F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Garces C. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
- 54', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Paulinho ⚽, Helinho (A),
- 64', Helinho ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 3, Paulinho ⚽, Castro N. (A),
- 68', Joao Klauss ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 68', Thommy E. ↓, Paintsil J. ↑,
- 69', Cerrillo E. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 73', Angulo J. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
- 73', Paulinho ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 73', Reus M. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
- 82', Haak J. 🟨,
- 82', Bruno Mendez ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
- 83', Castro N. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Los Angeles Galaxy
35.8% | Draw
26.1% | Toluca
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.3) |
3.6
(3.6) |
2.46 ↓
(2.68) |
6.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Toluca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-4. Second leg.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, LA Galaxy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Toluca?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca were as follows:
08.04.2026
Toluca
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
4:2
01.10.2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
Toluca
2:3
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
