Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Network, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (511/567) | 87% (324/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (511/567) | 87% (324/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (112/153) | 83% (78/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Cuevas M. 🟨,
- 30', Sanchez I. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
- 34', 0 - 1, Yoshida M. ⚽, Reus M. (A),
- 42', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Sabovic B. 🟨,
- 61', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
- 61', Gallagher J. ↓, Desler M. ↑,
- 62', Sanabria L. ↓, Joao Klauss ↑,
- 62', Yamane M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
- 71', Aude J. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
- 72', Reus M. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme Biro 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 2, Thommy E. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
- 78', Ramirez C. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 79', Rosales J. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 83', Gabriel Pec ↓, Miller H. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Uzuni M. ⚽,
- 89', Marcinkowski J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Desler M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Thommy E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Austin FC
39.7% | Draw
26.5% | Los Angeles Galaxy
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-4%)
Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.08) |
3.55 ↓
(3.6) |
2.81 ↓
(3.05) |
5.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 44.1% – 94.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
- Recent performances by Austin have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- LA Galaxy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Austin: Pereira D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vazquez B.
(Knee Injury)
Wolff O.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in LA Galaxy: Glesnes J.
(Calf Injury)
Matheus Nascimento
(Injury)
Paintsil J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
Austin FC has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Austin FC?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
16.07.2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
Austin FC
1:2
19.04.2025
Austin FC
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
1:0
05.10.2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
Austin FC
2:1
27.04.2024
Austin FC
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
2:0
24.09.2023
Austin FC
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
3:3
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 24 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | New York City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:25 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
