Inter Miami vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.78
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
174
Shots outside the Box
121
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
38
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Long passes
70% (30/43)64% (27/42)
Passes in final third
83% (136/163)87% (150/173)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.43
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
83
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (5/7)
Duels won
2728
Clearances
1121
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.782.17
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Alba J. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Wynder E. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Messi L. ,
  • 46', Allende T. , de Paul R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Paintsil J. ,
  • 77', Picault F. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 77', Cremaschi B. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Gabriel Pec , Cuevas M. ,
  • 79', Parente I. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Fagundez D. , Aude J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Suarez L. , Messi L. (A), Ruiz D. (A2)
  • 90+4', Suarez L. , Allen N. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
63%
Draw
19.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 18.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.47)
    4.81
    (5.04)
    5.52
    (5.82)
    5.4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 59.7%87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)