Inter Miami vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.78
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
174
Shots outside the Box
121
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
38
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Long passes
70% (30/43)64% (27/42)
Passes in final third
83% (136/163)87% (150/173)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.43
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
83
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (5/7)
Duels won
2728
Clearances
1121
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.782.17
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Alba J. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Wynder E. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Messi L. ,
  • 46', Allende T. , de Paul R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Paintsil J. ,
  • 77', Picault F. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 77', Cremaschi B. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Gabriel Pec , Cuevas M. ,
  • 79', Parente I. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Fagundez D. , Aude J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Suarez L. , Messi L. (A), Ruiz D. (A2)
  • 90+4', Suarez L. , Allen N. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
63%
Draw
19.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 18.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.47)
    4.81
    (5.04)
    5.52
    (5.82)
    5.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 59.7%87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2