Inter Miami vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.78
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
174
Shots outside the Box
121
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
38
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Long passes
70% (30/43)64% (27/42)
Passes in final third
83% (136/163)87% (150/173)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.43
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
83
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (5/7)
Duels won
2728
Clearances
1121
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.782.17
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Alba J. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Wynder E. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Messi L. ,
  • 46', Allende T. , de Paul R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Paintsil J. ,
  • 77', Picault F. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 77', Cremaschi B. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Gabriel Pec , Cuevas M. ,
  • 79', Parente I. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Fagundez D. , Aude J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Suarez L. , Messi L. (A), Ruiz D. (A2)
  • 90+4', Suarez L. , Allen N. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
63%
Draw
19.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 18.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.47)
    4.81
    (5.04)
    5.52
    (5.82)
    5.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 59.7%87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - LA Galaxy (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 6.7%). LA Galaxy (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)