Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (415/458) | 92% (511/553) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (415/458) | 92% (511/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 64% (27/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (136/163) | 87% (150/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Alba J. ⚽, Busquets S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Wynder E. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
- 46', Segovia T. ↓, Messi L. ↑,
- 46', Allende T. ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Paintsil J. ⚽,
- 77', Picault F. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 77', Cremaschi B. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
- 79', Gabriel Pec ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
- 79', Parente I. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 79', Fagundez D. ↓, Aude J. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Messi L. ⚽,
- 87', Reus M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Ruiz D. (A2)
- 90+4', Suarez L. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami
63% | Draw
19.7% | Los Angeles Galaxy
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.47) |
4.81 ↓
(5.04) |
5.52 ↓
(5.82) |
5.4%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 59.7% – 87.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
Inter Miami has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Inter Miami?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
25.02.2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
Inter Miami
1:1
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 52:48 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Austin FC | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 31:47 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 42:35 | 7 | 52 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 49:32 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 28 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 46:39 | 7 | 47 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 45 |
| 8 | New York City | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31:49 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 | DC United | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 24:53 | -29 | 21 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
