Inter Miami vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.78
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
174
Shots outside the Box
121
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
38
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Long passes
70% (30/43)64% (27/42)
Passes in final third
83% (136/163)87% (150/173)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.43
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
83
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (5/7)
Duels won
2728
Clearances
1121
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.782.17
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Alba J. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Wynder E. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Messi L. ,
  • 46', Allende T. , de Paul R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Paintsil J. ,
  • 77', Picault F. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 77', Cremaschi B. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Gabriel Pec , Cuevas M. ,
  • 79', Parente I. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Fagundez D. , Aude J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Suarez L. , Messi L. (A), Ruiz D. (A2)
  • 90+4', Suarez L. , Allen N. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
63%
Draw
19.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 18.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18% 15.6%

Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.5
(1.47)
4.81
(5.04)
5.52
(5.82)
5.4%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 59.7%87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5FC CincinnatiBye
    6ByeColumbus Crew
    7Inter MiamiBye
    8ByeNashville SC
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    14ByeFC Dallas
    15Los Angeles FCBye
    16ByeAustin FC

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire2 : 0
    2CharlotteNew York City1 : 2
    3FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew2 : 1
    4Inter MiamiNashville SC2 : 1
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers2 : 1
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders2 : 1
    7Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas2 : 0
    8Los Angeles FCAustin FC2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionNew York City
    2FC CincinnatiInter Miami
    3San Diego FCMinnesota United
    4Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2