Inter Miami vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.78
Total shots
295
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
174
Shots outside the Box
121
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
3516
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
38
Passes
91% (415/458)92% (511/553)
Long passes
70% (30/43)64% (27/42)
Passes in final third
83% (136/163)87% (150/173)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.43
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
83
Tackles
72% (13/18)71% (5/7)
Duels won
2728
Clearances
1121
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.782.17
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Alba J. , Busquets S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Wynder E. , Matheus Nascimento ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Messi L. ,
  • 46', Allende T. , de Paul R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Paintsil J. ,
  • 77', Picault F. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 77', Cremaschi B. , Bright Y. ,
  • 79', Gabriel Pec , Cuevas M. ,
  • 79', Parente I. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 79', Fagundez D. , Aude J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Messi L. ,
  • 87', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Suarez L. , Messi L. (A), Ruiz D. (A2)
  • 90+4', Suarez L. , Allen N. ,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
63%
Draw
19.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 18.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.47)
    4.81
    (5.04)
    5.52
    (5.82)
    5.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 59.7%87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - LA Galaxy (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles Galaxy will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 6.7%). LA Galaxy (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • Inter Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Messi L. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Inter Miami 1:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    10.08.2025 Orlando City - Inter Miami 4:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)