Result
3:2
01/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 1.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
86% (337/392) | 74% (173/235) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 1.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.89 | 1.59 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
86% (337/392) | 74% (173/235) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (30/59) | 38% (16/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (81/109) | 46% (21/46) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (12/41) | 9% (1/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.98 | 0.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 83% (5/6) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.59 | 1.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.41 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 23', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Sen M. (Pen),
- 27', Torres F. ↓, Santiago G. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 1, Bueno P. ⚽, Takeuchi O. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Paico K. (Own goal),
- 43', 2 - 2, Marchioni J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paico K. ↓, Marina J. ↑,
- 46', Tecilla N. ↓, Alcedo F. ↑,
- 53', Guzman W. 🟨,
- 60', Lecaros A. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 64', Sen M. 🟥,
- 70', Mogollon E. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 75', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
- 82', Takeuchi O. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑,
- 83', Quiroz A. ↓, Dioses D. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Gonzalez H. ⚽, Guivin Tanta J. (A),
- 85', Marchioni J. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
- 90', Pimienta C. 🟨,
- 90+3', Alcedo F. 🟨,
- 90+6', Guzman W. 🟨,
- 90+8', Cardenas P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas 55% | Draw 26.3% | Comerciantes Unidos 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Unidos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+15.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.38) |
3.61 ↓ (4.7) |
5.07 ↓ (7.5) |
5.9% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 2.
- Los Chankas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Comerciantes Unidos is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Los Chankas is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Huaman A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Sandoval R.
(Stomach Disorder)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Los Chankas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Los Chankas?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
22.02.2025
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Los Chankas
1:1
20.07.2024
Los Chankas
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
05.02.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Los Chankas
3:2
23.08.2023
Los Chankas
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
28.05.2023
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Los Chankas
3:2
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
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