Los Chankas vs Comerciantes Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
3:2
01/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.57
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
90
Passes
86% (337/392)74% (173/235)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.59
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
90
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (337/392)74% (173/235)
Long passes
51% (30/59)38% (16/42)
Passes in final third
74% (81/109)46% (21/46)
Crosses
29% (12/41)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.980.25
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
811
Tackles
55% (6/11)83% (5/6)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
1532
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.591.89
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 23', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sen M. (Pen),
  • 27', Torres F. , Santiago G. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Bueno P. , Takeuchi O. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Paico K. (Own goal),
  • 43', 2 - 2, Marchioni J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paico K. , Marina J. ,
  • 46', Tecilla N. , Alcedo F. ,
  • 53', Guzman W. 🟨,
  • 60', Lecaros A. , Paredes G. ,
  • 64', Sen M. 🟥,
  • 70', Mogollon E. , Camargo I. ,
  • 75', Carpio Ferro M. P. , Alfaro Martinez G. E. ,
  • 82', Takeuchi O. , Espinoza Vega F. E. ,
  • 83', Quiroz A. , Dioses D. ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Gonzalez H. , Guivin Tanta J. (A),
  • 85', Marchioni J. , Figueroa N. ,
  • 90', Pimienta C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Alcedo F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Guzman W. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Cardenas P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Los Chankas
55%
Draw
26.3%
Comerciantes Unidos
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 19.9% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 19% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.
  • Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Unidos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.38)
    3.61
    (4.7)
    5.07
    (7.5)
    5.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 2.
    • Los Chankas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Comerciantes Unidos is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Los Chankas is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Los Chankas: Velarde C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Huaman A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Sandoval R. (Stomach Disorder)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas 1:1
    20.07.2024 Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos 2:0
    05.02.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas 3:2
    23.08.2023 Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos 2:1
    28.05.2023 Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas 3:2
    Latest results of Los Chankas
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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