Result
2:1 penalties
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (303/359) | 84% (289/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (303/359) | 84% (289/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 40% (17/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (82/114) | 63% (43/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Tingey K. 🟨,
- 27', Aboukoura A. 🟨,
- 29', Servania J. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Leerman Y. ⚽, Bidois R. (A),
- 45', Quintanilla J. 🟨,
- 45', Donovan C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Turner C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Fauroux H. 🟥,
- 56', Bidois R. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 56', Martin C. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
- 66', Santos P. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
- 66', Turner C. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
- 69', Al Qaq A. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
- 69', Quintanilla J. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
- 71', Burner P. 🟨,
- 73', Malou J. ↓, Sundstrom F. ↑,
- 78', Hodge T. ↓, Craig P. ↑,
- 79', Burner P. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
- 80', Aboukoura A. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
- 89', McCabe T. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
- 90+12', Karamoko H. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 90+13', 1 - 1, Perez L. ⚽,
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Perez L. (Pen),
- 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
- 2, Rafa Mentzingen (Pen),
- 2, Mines B. (Pen),
- 3, Maldonado M. (Pen),
- 3, Nagy A. (Pen),
- 4, Pedro Becker (Pen),
- 4, Skundrich D. (Pen),
- 5, Conway E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
North Carolina
28.3% | Draw
25.5% | Loudoun United
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-16%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Carolina - Loudoun United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.22) |
3.61 ↑
(3.4) |
2 ↓
(2.93) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Loudoun has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Loudoun United?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against North Carolina?
Loudoun United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Loudoun United were as follows:
15.03.2025
North Carolina
-
Loudoun United
1:2
14.05.2024
North Carolina
-
Loudoun United
2:0
16.03.2024
Loudoun United
-
North Carolina
3:1
05.04.2023
Loudoun United
-
North Carolina
2:1
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Loudoun United
