North Carolina vs Loudoun United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.54
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
62% (137/220)83% (445/537)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.07
Total shots
719
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1035
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
719
Passes
62% (137/220)83% (445/537)
Long passes
28% (16/57)41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
48% (28/58)72% (130/180)
Crosses
14% (1/7)27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.60
Throw-ins
1427
Fouls
197
Tackles
85% (11/13)100% (6/6)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
4010
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.070.28
Goals prevented
0.07-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Anderson O. , Al Qaq A. (A),
  • 10', Turner C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Washington B. , Hodge T. ,
  • 67', Bidois R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 70', Al Qaq A. 🟨,
  • 72', Al Qaq A. , Servania J. ,
  • 74', Aboukoura A. , Santos P. ,
  • 74', Turner C. , Ordonez A. ,
  • 74', Akinyode B. , Dambrot R. ,
  • 82', Glasgow O. , Mines B. ,
  • 82', Awuah K. , Nyeman M. ,
  • 90', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Anderson O. , Forbes J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
35.7%
Draw
27.7%
Loudoun United
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.2% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 27.3% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • North Carolina - Loudoun United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.37)
    3.3
    (3.4)
    2.5
    (2.75)
    9.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
    • North Carolina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Loudoun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Loudoun United were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Loudoun United - North Carolina 0:1
    26.07.2025 North Carolina - Loudoun United 2:1
    15.03.2025 North Carolina - Loudoun United 1:2
    14.05.2024 North Carolina - Loudoun United 2:0
    16.03.2024 Loudoun United - North Carolina 3:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

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