North Carolina vs Loudoun United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.54
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
62% (137/220)83% (445/537)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.07
Total shots
719
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
411
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1035
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
719
Passes
62% (137/220)83% (445/537)
Long passes
28% (16/57)41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
48% (28/58)72% (130/180)
Crosses
14% (1/7)27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.60
Throw-ins
1427
Fouls
197
Tackles
85% (11/13)100% (6/6)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
4010
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.070.28
Goals prevented
0.07-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Anderson O. , Al Qaq A. (A),
  • 10', Turner C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Washington B. , Hodge T. ,
  • 67', Bidois R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 70', Al Qaq A. 🟨,
  • 72', Al Qaq A. , Servania J. ,
  • 74', Aboukoura A. , Santos P. ,
  • 74', Turner C. , Ordonez A. ,
  • 74', Akinyode B. , Dambrot R. ,
  • 82', Glasgow O. , Mines B. ,
  • 82', Awuah K. , Nyeman M. ,
  • 90', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Burner P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Anderson O. , Forbes J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Carolina
35.7%
Draw
27.7%
Loudoun United
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.2% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 27.3% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • North Carolina - Loudoun United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.37)
    3.3
    (3.4)
    2.5
    (2.75)
    9.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
    • North Carolina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Loudoun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Loudoun United were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Loudoun United - North Carolina 0:1
    26.07.2025 North Carolina - Loudoun United 2:1
    15.03.2025 North Carolina - Loudoun United 1:2
    14.05.2024 North Carolina - Loudoun United 2:0
    16.03.2024 Loudoun United - North Carolina 3:1
    Latest results of North Carolina
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7Colorado Springs723215:1329
    8FC Tulsa72329:819
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

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