Louisville City vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY).

US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.43
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
10	4
Passes
75% (268/357)	75% (293/391)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	0.47
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
24	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
7	16
Passes
75% (268/357)	75% (293/391)
Long passes
44% (27/62)	30% (25/83)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)	60% (78/131)
Crosses
21% (8/38)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.42
Throw-ins
24	22
Fouls
16	7
Tackles
40% (4/10)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
51	56
Clearances
27	44
Interceptions
11	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.47	0.09
Goals prevented
-0.53	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Adams K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, Jeong S. (A),
66', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
66', Perez A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
67', Randell A. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
67', Gressel J. ↓, Fischer B. ↑,
73', Morris J. 🟨,
76', Morris J. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
79', Shashoua S. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
84', Lambert K. 🟨,
85', Perez E. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
90+2', Jeong S. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
90+4', Fischer B. 🟨,
90+5', McFadden A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Louisville City
41.3%

Draw
27.4%

Minnesota United
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.4%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.9%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Louisville City - Minnesota United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (3.18)	3.41 ↑ (3.31)	2.93 ↑ (2.06)	6.4% (10.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Louisville City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Minnesota has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Minnesota United?

Louisville City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against Louisville City?

Minnesota United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Minnesota United were as follows:

Latest results of Louisville City

01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Louisville City - Richmond Kickers 4:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 1:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Sacramento Republic - Louisville City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United

03.05.2025 Austin FC - Minnesota United 0:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Minnesota United - FC Dallas 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Toronto FC - Minnesota United 0:0 ✺

06.04.2025 New York City - Minnesota United 1:2 ✺

Draw

2026

1/64-finals

1	Steel City	Pittsburgh
2	Carolina Core	Virginia Dream	1 : 2
3	Asheville City	Greenville	3 : 1
4	Vistula	One Knoxville	1 : 3
5	FC Naples	Red Force	3 : 0
6	Tormenta	America CFL Spurs (WO.)
7	Indy Eleven	Menace	3 : 0
8	BOHFS St. Louis	Union Omaha	0 : 8
9	Charlotte Independ.	Ristozi	4 : 1
10	Charleston	Florida Badgers	2 : 1
11	AV Alta	Valley 559 FC	0 : 1
12	Sacramento Republic	El Farolito	2 : 0
13	Chattanooga	Kalonji	2 : 1
14	Tennessee Tempo	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1 : 0
15	Richmond Kickers	Northern Virginia	2 : 0
16	West Chester Utd	Loudoun	1 : 2
17	Rhode Island	Faialense	4 : 0
18	Motown	Hartford Athletic	0 : 2
19	Vermont Green	Portland Hearts of Pine	1 : 0
20	Westchester SC	NY Renegades	2 : 0
21	Lexington	Flower City Union	9 : 0
22	Louisville City	Southern Indiana	2 : 0
23	Flint City	Forward Madison	2 : 0
24	Detroit	Michigan Rangers	5 : 1
25	Colorado Springs	Azteca	3 : 0
26	Ventura	Spokane Velocity	1 : 2
27	San Antonio	New Stars	6 : 0
28	Little Rock Rangers	FC Tulsa	2 : 4
29	New Mexico	Cruizers	3 : 2
30	Laredo Heat	El Paso	0 : 2
31	Orange County SC	Laguna United	3 : 0
32	Phoenix Rising	San Ramon	4 : 0

1/32-finals

1	TBD #1	Virginia Dream
2	Asheville City	One Knoxville
3	FC Naples	America CFL Spurs
4	Indy Eleven	Union Omaha
5	Charlotte Independ.	Charleston
6	Valley 559 FC	Sacramento Republic
7	Chattanooga	Tennessee Tempo
8	Richmond Kickers	Loudoun
9	Rhode Island	Hartford Athletic
10	Vermont Green	Westchester SC
11	Lexington	Louisville City
12	Flint City	Detroit
13	Colorado Springs	Spokane Velocity
14	San Antonio	FC Tulsa
15	New Mexico	El Paso
16	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising