Louisville City vs Minnesota United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
0:1
07/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.43
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
75% (268/357)75% (293/391)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.47
Total shots
156
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
716
Passes
75% (268/357)75% (293/391)
Long passes
44% (27/62)30% (25/83)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)60% (78/131)
Crosses
21% (8/38)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.42
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
167
Tackles
40% (4/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5156
Clearances
2744
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.470.09
Goals prevented
-0.530.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Randell A. ⚽, Jeong S. (A),
  • 66', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
  • 66', Perez A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
  • 67', Randell A. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
  • 67', Gressel J. ↓, Fischer B. ↑,
  • 73', Morris J. 🟨,
  • 76', Morris J. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
  • 79', Shashoua S. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
  • 84', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 85', Perez E. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Jeong S. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
  • 90+4', Fischer B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McFadden A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Louisville City
41.3%		Draw
27.4%		Minnesota United
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 27.4% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 28.9% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.
  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Louisville City - Minnesota United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (3.18)    		 3.41 ↑
    (3.31)    		 2.93 ↑
    (2.06)    		 6.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Louisville City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Minnesota has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Louisville City
    01.05.2025 Louisville City - Lexington 2:0
    26.04.2025 Louisville City - Richmond Kickers 4:1
    19.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City 1:2
    15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Sacramento Republic - Louisville City 1:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    03.05.2025 Austin FC - Minnesota United 0:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps 1:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 Minnesota United - FC Dallas 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Toronto FC - Minnesota United 0:0
    06.04.2025 New York City - Minnesota United 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2New York CityTBD #4
    3Chicago FireTBD #6
    4Louisville CityTBD #8
    5Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13New England Revolution
    8TBD #15TBD #16
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