Erzgebirge Aue vs Lübeck – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/01/2024 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
48.4%
Draw
26.1%
Lübeck
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.2% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 24.6% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.78)
    3.56
    (3.65)
    3.63
    (3.99)
    7.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 23.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aue is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lübeck is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Aue have a series of guest games.
    • Aue will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Aue won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Lübeck - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Lübeck
    23.01.2024 Lübeck - 1860 München 1:1
    20.01.2024 Lübeck - Waldhof Mannheim 2:1
    14.01.2024 Hansa Rostock - Lübeck 1:1
    19.12.2023 Sandhausen - Lübeck 1:2
    15.12.2023 Rot-Weiß Essen - Lübeck 1:0
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck30187550:262461
    2RW Essen301510561:491255
    3Verl30159670:412954
    4Duisburg30159654:411354
    5Cottbus30159655:441154
    6Hansa Rostock301411553:322153
    7Munich 186030147946:39749
    8Wehen301461042:33948
    9Mannheim301431349:54-545
    10Alemannia Aachen301351253:51244
    11Ingolstadt3010101050:41940
    12Regensburg301161342:45-339
    13Viktoria Koln301151441:41038
    14Stuttgart II301151436:49-1338
    15Hoffenheim II301051553:54-135
    16Saarbrucken307121140:46-633
    17Ulm30741939:62-2325
    18Aue30591634:54-2024
    19TSV Havelse30581743:69-2623
    20Schweinfurt30522329:69-4017

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