Result
3:1
04/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 255 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tommasini C. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Selvini A. ⚽,
- 19', Palmisani L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Corsinelli F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Maisto F. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
- 64', Selvini A. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Tommasini C. ⚽,
- 72', Gucher R. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
- 72', Gemignani A. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
- 77', Saporiti E. 🟨,
- 78', Catanese G. ↓, Giacchino G. ↑,
- 82', Tommasini C. ↓, Rovaglia P. ↑,
- 87', Cartano R. 🟨,
- 90+2', D'Ursi E. ↓, Stramaccioni D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gubbio
43.2% | Draw
31.1% | Lucchese
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Gubbio - Lucchese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.16) |
2.95 ↓
(3.09) |
3.58 ↑
(3.24) |
9%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 4.
- Gubbio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Lucchese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Gubbio will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Lucchese?
Gubbio has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against Gubbio?
Lucchese has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Lucchese were as follows:
30.08.2024
Lucchese
-
Gubbio
0:1
28.01.2024
Gubbio
-
Lucchese
1:0
19.09.2023
Lucchese
-
Gubbio
0:0
18.03.2023
Gubbio
-
Lucchese
2:0
20.11.2022
Lucchese
-
Gubbio
0:2
Latest results of Lucchese
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
