Ludogorets Razgrad vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar
Result
2:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.49
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1318
Shots on Goal
37
Shots off Goal
86
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
311
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
21
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Free Kicks
166
Offsides
02
Fouls
616
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1410
Touches in the Opposition Box
1833
Passes
80% (349/437)83% (364/438)
Passes in the final third
59% (56/95)76% (120/158)
Crosses
35% (7/20)4% (1/23)
Tackles
50% (6/12)65% (13/20)
Clearances Total
2830
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, van Bommel R. ,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Maikuma S. , Poku E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 49', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Chochev I. , Erick Marcus (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Duah K. , Erick Marcus (A),
  • 66', Wolfe D. M. 🟨,
  • 70', Parrott T. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 70', Koopmeiners P. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 78', Verdon O. , Witry A. F. ,
  • 78', Duah K. , Rwan Seco ,
  • 79', Poku E. , Lahdo M. ,
  • 79', van Bommel R. , Daal R. ,
  • 84', Chochev I. 🟨,
  • 87', Erick Marcus , Camara A. ,
  • 87', Piotrowski J. , Yordanov I. ,
  • 88', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
  • 89', Maikuma S. , Kasius D. ,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets Razgrad
29.9%
Draw
29.6%
AZ Alkmaar
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 29% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 27.6% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.45)
    3.24
    (3.15)
    2.39
    (2.05)
    3.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 21 - 45.7%). AZ will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 31.3%60.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently AZ have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Ludogorets: Nedyalkov A. (Knee Injury) Tekpetey B. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Belic K. (Injury) Smit K. (Red Card) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) Zeefuik L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ludogorets: Duarte D. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    08.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 2:1
    28.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray 1:1
    10.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Willem II 1:2
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1, 3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets1 : 4, 2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys2 : 3, 0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc2 : 0, 3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor0 : 0, 2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB0 : 3, 2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk2 : 1, 1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS2 : 0, 4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga1 : 5, 0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 0, 0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca4 : 0, 2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK0 : 5, 1 : 0