Ludogorets Razgrad vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar
Result
2:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.49
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1318
Shots on Goal
37
Shots off Goal
86
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
311
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
21
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Free Kicks
166
Offsides
02
Fouls
616
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1410
Touches in the Opposition Box
1833
Passes
80% (349/437)83% (364/438)
Passes in the final third
59% (56/95)76% (120/158)
Crosses
35% (7/20)4% (1/23)
Tackles
50% (6/12)65% (13/20)
Clearances Total
2830
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, van Bommel R. ,
  • 19', 0 - 2, Maikuma S. , Poku E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Goes W. 🟨,
  • 49', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Chochev I. , Erick Marcus (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Duah K. , Erick Marcus (A),
  • 66', Wolfe D. M. 🟨,
  • 70', Parrott T. , Meerdink M. ,
  • 70', Koopmeiners P. , Buurmeester Z. ,
  • 78', Verdon O. , Witry A. F. ,
  • 78', Duah K. , Rwan Seco ,
  • 79', Poku E. , Lahdo M. ,
  • 79', van Bommel R. , Daal R. ,
  • 84', Chochev I. 🟨,
  • 87', Erick Marcus , Camara A. ,
  • 87', Piotrowski J. , Yordanov I. ,
  • 88', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
  • 89', Maikuma S. , Kasius D. ,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets Razgrad
29.9%
Draw
29.6%
AZ Alkmaar
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 29% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 27.6% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AZ Alkmaar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.45)
    3.24
    (3.15)
    2.39
    (2.05)
    3.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 21 - 45.7%). AZ will win (votes: 17 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 31.3%60.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently AZ have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Ludogorets: Nedyalkov A. (Knee Injury) Tekpetey B. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in AZ: Belic K. (Injury) Smit K. (Red Card) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury) Zeefuik L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ludogorets: Duarte D. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ludogorets Razgrad
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    08.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Ajax 2:1
    28.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray 1:1
    10.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Willem II 1:2
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Panathinaikos11004:133
    2D. Zagreb11003:123
    3Midtjylland11002:023
    4AS Roma11002:113
    5Ludogorets11002:113
    6Lille11002:113
    7Freiburg11002:113
    8Stuttgart11002:113
    9Genk11001:013
    10Lyon11001:013
    11FC Porto11001:013
    12FCSB11001:013
    13Aston Villa11001:013
    14Braga11001:013
    15Nottingham10102:201
    16Betis10102:201
    17Plzen10101:101
    18Celtic10101:101
    19Crvena zvezda10101:101
    20Ferencvaros10101:101
    21PAOK10100:001
    22Maccabi Tel Aviv10100:001
    23Celta Vigo10011:2-10
    24Brann10011:2-10
    25Basel10011:2-10
    26Nice10011:2-10
    27Malmo FF10011:2-10
    28Bologna10010:1-10
    29Salzburg10010:1-10
    30Feyenoord10010:1-10
    31Utrecht10010:1-10
    32Rangers10010:1-10
    33G.A. Eagles10010:1-10
    34Fenerbahce10011:3-20
    35Sturm Graz10010:2-20
    36Young Boys10011:4-30

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