Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Vielma P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Franco A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Porvenir
41.7% | Draw
31.2% | Lugano
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
El Porvenir - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.16) |
2.91 ↓
(2.98) |
3.34 ↑
(3.33) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- El Porvenir could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Porvenir won against Lugano?
El Porvenir has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against El Porvenir?
Lugano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Porvenir - Lugano were as follows:
25.05.2025
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
2:0
28.09.2024
El Porvenir
-
Lugano
1:0
28.04.2024
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
2:1
25.11.2023
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
0:1
21.08.2023
El Porvenir
-
Lugano
3:1
Latest results of El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituzaingo | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 34:16 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba ✔ | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 42 |
| 4 | Justo Jose de Urquiza ✔ | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 38 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Claypole | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | Leandro N. Alem | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:22 | 0 | 29 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Mercedes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Def. de Cambaceres | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugano | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Puerto Nuevo ✔ | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 17:40 | -23 | 17 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Camioneros | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 35:9 | 26 | 55 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 | 50 |
| 3 | Estrella Del Sur ✔ | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 4 | Argentino de Rosario ✔ | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas ✔ | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid ✔ | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 35 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida S. M | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 8 | CSR Espanol | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 31:27 | 4 | 29 |
| 9 | Atlas | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29:45 | -16 | 29 |
| 10 | Canuelas | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24:34 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Victoriano A | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 22 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 16:33 | -17 | 22 |
| 14 | Central Ballester | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Primera C (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Central Cordoba is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Justo Jose de Urquiza is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Puerto Nuevo is Primera C (Relegation)
Estrella Del Sur is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Argentino de Rosario is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Sportivo Barracas is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
General Lamadrid is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
