Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Alvarenga M. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Vielma P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Franco A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
El Porvenir
41.7% | Draw
31.2% | Lugano
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
El Porvenir - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.16) |
2.91 ↓
(2.98) |
3.34 ↑
(3.33) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- El Porvenir could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Porvenir won against Lugano?
El Porvenir has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against El Porvenir?
Lugano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Porvenir - Lugano were as follows:
25.05.2025
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
2:0
28.09.2024
El Porvenir
-
Lugano
1:0
28.04.2024
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
2:1
25.11.2023
Lugano
-
El Porvenir
0:1
21.08.2023
El Porvenir
-
Lugano
3:1
Latest results of El Porvenir
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Berazategui | General Lamadrid | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Argentino de Rosario | Leandro N. Alem | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Club Lujan | El Porvenir | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | Sportivo Barracas | 0 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Juventud Unida S. M. | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | Deportivo Espanol | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ituzaingo | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Berazategui | Leandro N. Alem | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | Sportivo Barracas | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Deportivo Espanol | 0 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ituzaingo | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Leandro N. Alem | Sportivo Barracas | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Deportivo Espanol | Ituzaingo | 0 : 1 |
Final
