El Porvenir vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C El Porvenir - Lugano
Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Alvarenga M. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Vielma P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Franco A. ,

Chances of winning


El Porvenir
41.7%
Draw
31.2%
Lugano
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 29.5% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • El Porvenir - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.16)
    2.91
    (2.98)
    3.34
    (3.33)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • El Porvenir could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Porvenir - Lugano were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Lugano - El Porvenir 2:0
    28.09.2024 El Porvenir - Lugano 1:0
    28.04.2024 Lugano - El Porvenir 2:1
    25.11.2023 Lugano - El Porvenir 0:1
    21.08.2023 El Porvenir - Lugano 3:1
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Latest results of Lugano
    Draw
    Qualification - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ClaypoleCentral Ballester3 : 1
    2CanuelasLugano3 : 1, 2 : 0
    3CSR EspanolVictoriano A.1 : 0
    4Deportivo MunizYupanqui1 : 4, 1 : 2
    5MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo2 : 0, 0 : 0
    6AtlasDef. de Cambaceres1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Canuelas
    2TBD #3Yupanqui
    3MercedesTBD #6

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bye

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2