Result
1:0
12/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- UGANDA: Premier League - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Muwanguzi T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 0, Kalanzi A. (Pen),
- 71', Lutakome J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugazi Municipal
50.2% | Draw
31.4% | Police
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugazi Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugazi Municipal's performance.Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugazi Municipal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugazi Municipal - Police Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.2) |
2.88 ↓
(3) |
4.92 ↑
(3.2) |
10.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Lugazi Municipal - Police?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lugazi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).
- Lugazi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Police is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lugazi will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lugazi won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugazi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Lugazi Municipal won against Police?
Lugazi Municipal has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Lugazi Municipal?
Police has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugazi Municipal - Police were as follows:
20.11.2024
Police
-
Lugazi Municipal
0:0
24.02.2024
Police
-
Lugazi Municipal
1:1
12.10.2023
Lugazi Municipal
-
Police
0:0
Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buhimba | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Kampala City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Police | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | BUL | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Express | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | UPDF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | URA SC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Kitara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | NEC FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Vipers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Maroons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Calvary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
