Result
2:1
12/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Bbaale C. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Ikamba B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 77', Ikamba B. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Kalanzi A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Police
63.4% | Draw
24.1% | Lugazi Municipal
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugazi Municipal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Police - Lugazi Municipal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.48) |
3.73 ↓
(3.8) |
7.18 ↑
(6.14) |
11.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
- Police is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lugazi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Police is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Lugazi Municipal?
Police has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugazi Municipal won against Police?
Lugazi Municipal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Lugazi Municipal were as follows:
10.12.2025
Lugazi Municipal
-
Police
1:1
12.02.2025
Lugazi Municipal
-
Police
1:0
20.11.2024
Police
-
Lugazi Municipal
0:0
24.02.2024
Police
-
Lugazi Municipal
1:1
12.10.2023
Lugazi Municipal
-
Police
0:0
Latest results of Lugazi Municipal
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 37:9 | 28 | 41 |
| 2 | Kitara | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Villa | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26:10 | 16 | 34 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 34 |
| 6 | Police | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | BUL | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Maroons | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Lugazi | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15:24 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Express | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Buhimba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:38 | -23 | 15 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 | URA SC | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:26 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Calvary | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6:26 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
